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A Prediction Model of Peasants’ Income in China Based on BP Neural Network

Author

Listed:
  • Guo, Qing-chun
  • He, Zhen-fang
  • Li, Li
  • Kong, Ling-jun
  • Zhang, Xiao-yong
  • Kou, Li-qun

Abstract

According to the related data affecting the peasants’ income in China in the years 1978-2008, a total of 13 indices are selected, such as agricultural population, output value of primary industry, and rural employees. According to standardized method and BP neural network method, the peasants’ income and the artificial neural network model are established and analyzed. Results show that the simulation value agrees well with the real value; the neural network model with improved BP algorithm has high prediction accuracy, rapid convergence rate and good generalization ability. Finally, suggestions are put forward to increase the peasants’ income, such as promoting the process of urbanization, developing small and medium-sized enterprises in rural areas, encouraging intensive operation, and strengthening the rural infrastructure and agricultural science and technology input.

Suggested Citation

  • Guo, Qing-chun & He, Zhen-fang & Li, Li & Kong, Ling-jun & Zhang, Xiao-yong & Kou, Li-qun, 2011. "A Prediction Model of Peasants’ Income in China Based on BP Neural Network," Asian Agricultural Research, USA-China Science and Culture Media Corporation, vol. 3(04), pages 1-4, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:asagre:113491
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.113491
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    Cited by:

    1. Shaddel, Mehdi & Javan, Dawood Seyed & Baghernia, Parisa, 2016. "Estimation of hourly global solar irradiation on tilted absorbers from horizontal one using Artificial Neural Network for case study of Mashhad," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 59-67.

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    Keywords

    Agribusiness;

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