IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ags/agreko/44028.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Facilitating decision-making in agriculture by using a system of models

Author

Listed:
  • Strauss, P.G.
  • Meyer, Ferdinand H.
  • Kirsten, Johann F.

Abstract

This article presents a deterministic farm-level model developed to link to an existing partial equilibrium sector-level model of the grain and livestock sectors of South Africa. The objective is to create a linked system of models consisting of a sector- and farm-level model with the capability to analyse the likely effects of changes in policies and markets at both the sector and representative farm level in South Africa. A representative farm in the Free State Province is used to validate the farm-level model. The farm-level model is used to simulate a baseline as well as two scenarios of the representative farm for the period 2003 to 2010. Results indicate that the farm-level model simulates the representative farm rather accurately compared to historical data. The baseline and scenario results indicate that the linked system of models can be useful for policy and business decision-makers to analyse the impact of change in policies and markets at both the sector- and farm level.

Suggested Citation

  • Strauss, P.G. & Meyer, Ferdinand H. & Kirsten, Johann F., 2008. "Facilitating decision-making in agriculture by using a system of models," Agrekon, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), vol. 47(3), pages 1-19, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:agreko:44028
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.44028
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/44028/files/4%20%20Strauss%20Meyer%20%20Kirsten.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.44028?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Meyer, Ferdinand H. & Westhoff, Patrick C. & Binfield, Julian C.R. & Kirsten, Johann F., 2006. "Model closure and price formation under switching grain market regimes in South Africa," Agrekon, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), vol. 45(4), pages 1-12, December.
    2. Johnson, Stanley R. & Rausser, Gordon C., 1977. "Systems Analysis and Simulation: A Survey of Applications in Agricultural and Resource Economics," A Survey of Agricultural Economics Literature, Volume 2: Quantitative Methods in Agricultural Economics, 1940s to 1970s,, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    3. Reynolds, Sanri & Meyer, Ferdinand & Cutts, Michela & Vink, Nick, 2009. "Modeling Long-term Commodities: the Development of a Simulation Model for the South African Wine Industry within a Partial Equilibrium Framework," Journal of Wine Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 4(2), pages 201-218, January.
    4. George F. Patrick & Ludwig M. Eisgruber, 1968. "The Impact of Managerial Ability and Capital Structure on Growth of the Farm Firm," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 50(3), pages 491-506.
    5. Held, Larry J. & Helmers, Glenn A., 1981. "Growth And Survival In Wheat Farming: The Impact Of Land Expansion And Borrowing Restraints," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 6(2), pages 1-10, December.
    6. Kobrich, C. & Rehman, T. & Khan, M., 2003. "Typification of farming systems for constructing representative farm models: two illustrations of the application of multi-variate analyses in Chile and Pakistan," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 76(1), pages 141-157, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Janeska Stamenkovska, Ivana & Dimitrievski, Dragi & Erjavec, Emil & Zgajnar, Jaka & Martinovska-Stojcheska, Aleksandra, 2012. "Optimisation Of The Vegetable Production In The Republic Of Macedonia; Linear Programming Approach," 132nd Seminar, October 25-27, 2012, Skopje, Republic of Macedonia 139492, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    2. Stamenkovska, Ivana Janeska & Dimitrievski, Dragi & Erjavec, Emil & Zgajnar, Jaka & Martinovska-Stojcheska, Aleksandra, 2013. "Optimization of production on vegetable farm in the Republic of Macedonia," Agroeconomia Croatica, Croatian Society of Agricultural Economists, vol. 3(1), pages 1-8, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Azamat Azarov & Zbynek Polesny & Dietrich Darr & Maksim Kulikov & Vladimir Verner & Roy C. Sidle, 2022. "Classification of Mountain Silvopastoral Farming Systems in Walnut Forests of Kyrgyzstan: Determining Opportunities for Sustainable Livelihoods," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(12), pages 1-15, November.
    2. Luis Javier R. Barron & Aitor Andonegi & Gonzalo Gamboa & Eneko Garmendia & Oihana García & Noelia Aldai & Arantza Aldezabal, 2021. "Sustainability Assessment of Pasture-Based Dairy Sheep Systems: A Multidisciplinary and Multiscale Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-17, April.
    3. Musser, Wesley N. & Martin, Neil R., Jr. & Wise, James O., 1975. "The Beef Cow-Calf Enterprise In The Georgia Piedmont: A Case Study In Conspicuous Production," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 7(1), pages 1-7, July.
    4. Federica Ravera & David Tarrasón & Giuseppina Siciliano, 2014. "Rural change and multidimensional analysis of farm’s vulnerability: a case study in a protected area of semi-arid northern Nicaragua," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 16(4), pages 873-901, August.
    5. Emtage, Nicholas & Herbohn, John, 2012. "Assessing rural landholders diversity in the Wet Tropics region of Queensland, Australia in relation to natural resource management programs: A market segmentation approach," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 107-118.
    6. Vayssières, Jonathan & Vigne, Mathieu & Alary, Véronique & Lecomte, Philippe, 2011. "Integrated participatory modelling of actual farms to support policy making on sustainable intensification," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 104(2), pages 146-161, February.
    7. Thapa, Gopal B. & Rasul, Golam, 2005. "Patterns and determinants of agricultural systems in the Chittagong Hill Tracts of Bangladesh," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 84(3), pages 255-277, June.
    8. Głębocki Benicjusz & Kacprzak Ewa & Kossowski Tomasz, 2019. "Multicriterion Typology of Agriculture: A Spatial Dependence Approach," Quaestiones Geographicae, Sciendo, vol. 38(2), pages 29-49, June.
    9. Ford, Stephen A. & Shonkwiler, John Scott, 1994. "The Effect Of Managerial Ability On Farm Financial Success," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 23(2), pages 1-8, October.
    10. Elizabeth Ahikiriza & Joshua Wesana & Xavier Gellynck & Guido Van Huylenbroeck & Ludwig Lauwers, 2021. "Context Specificity and Time Dependency in Classifying Sub-Saharan Africa Dairy Cattle Farmers for Targeted Extension Farm Advice: The Case of Uganda," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-19, August.
    11. Hanson, Gregory D. & Thompson, Jerry L., 1978. "Maximum Feasible Farm Debt By Farm Type," Staff Papers 14212, University of Minnesota, Department of Applied Economics.
    12. Fouillet, Esther & Delière, Laurent & Flori, Albert & Rapidel, Bruno & Merot, Anne, 2023. "Diversity of pesticide use trajectories during agroecological transitions in vineyards: The case of the French DEPHY network," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    13. Held, Larry J. & Helmers, Glenn A., 1981. "Growth And Survival In Wheat Farming: The Impact Of Land Expansion And Borrowing Restraints," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 6(2), pages 1-10, December.
    14. Janine Aron & Kenneth Creamer & John Muellbauer & Neil Rankin, 2014. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Consumer Prices in South Africa: Evidence from Micro-Data," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(1), pages 165-185, January.
    15. Weerawardane, Gayatri C., 1993. "Rationing in agricultural credit markets: evidence from Iowa farm operators," ISU General Staff Papers 1993010108000018158, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    16. Primrose Madende & Johannes I. F. Henning & Henry Jordaan, 2023. "Accounting for Heterogeneity among Youth: A Missing Link in Enhancing Youth Participation in Agriculture—A South African Case Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-22, March.
    17. Bidogeza, J.C. & Berentsen, Paul B.M. & De Graaff, J. & Oude Lansink, Alfons G.J.M., 2008. "Multivariate Typology of Farm Households Based on Socio-Economic Characteristics Explaining Adoption of New Technology in Rwanda," 2007 Second International Conference, August 20-22, 2007, Accra, Ghana 52107, African Association of Agricultural Economists (AAAE).
    18. Harman, Wyatte L. & Eidman, Vernon R. & Hatch, Roy E. & Claypool, P. L., 1972. "Relating Farm and Operator Characteristics to Multiple Goals," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 4(1), pages 215-220, July.
    19. Hyland, John J. & Heanue, Kevin & McKillop, Jessica & Micha, Evgenia, 2018. "Factors underlying farmers' intentions to adopt best practices: The case of paddock based grazing systems," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 97-106.
    20. Malcolm, Bill & Sinnett, Alex, 2007. "Future Productivity and Growth in Dairy Farm Businesses in New Zealand: the Status Quo is Not an Option," Papers 234175, University of Melbourne, Melbourne School of Land and Environment.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Farm Management;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:agreko:44028. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/aeasaea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.