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Exchange Rate Volatility In Times Of Covid-19 In The Brics: Ardl And Cointegration Models (Fmols And Dols)

Author

Listed:
  • Valdecy Caetano

    (Universidade Federal de Uberlândia)

  • Flávio Vilela Vieira

    (Universidade Federal de Uberlândia)

Abstract

The main goal of this work is to develop an empirical investigation on the occurrence of a sanitary crisis with data of cases and deaths of Covid-19, and their possible impact on the exchange rate volatility for the BRICS with daily data from February 20, 2020, to February 28, 2022, using ARDL, FMOLS and DOLS models. The results indicate that increases in the number of confirmed cases and deaths are associated with lower levels of exchange rate volatility, indicating that monetary and fiscal policies were inefficient in the context of a generalized health crisis in directing capital flows, and since the Covid-19 crisis is a global one, during the period of analysis there was a relative exchange rate stability, in other words, a lower exchange rate volatility.

Suggested Citation

  • Valdecy Caetano & Flávio Vilela Vieira, 2024. "Exchange Rate Volatility In Times Of Covid-19 In The Brics: Ardl And Cointegration Models (Fmols And Dols)," Revista de Economia Mackenzie (REM), Mackenzie Presbyterian University, Social and Applied Sciences Center, vol. 21(1), pages 119-142, january-j.
  • Handle: RePEc:aft:journl:v:21:1:2024:jan:jun:p:119-142
    DOI: 10.5935/1808-2785/rem.v21n1p.119-142
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange rate volatility; Covid-19; Brics; ARDL; DOLS and FMOLS models; interest rate.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises

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