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Cointegration Analysis of Behavioral Issues in the Auctioning of Treasury Bills in Tanzania

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  • Ellinami J Minja

    (University of Dar es Salaam)

Abstract

The discriminatory auction system elicits some behaviors from the bidders. While bidders quoting high prices are prone to suffer the winner’s curse, low prices can signal bid shedding or even collusion among bidders. Based on 8-year weekly observations of auction results of treasury securities in Tanzania, we use cointegration to establish the behavior of yields obtained (or quoted) by different bidder categories. The results not only suggest Granger-causality among the lowest, lowest successful and highest bid price series but also that they are generated by similar processes. Lowering of the bid size also led to better cointegration of the yields.

Suggested Citation

  • Ellinami J Minja, 2010. "Cointegration Analysis of Behavioral Issues in the Auctioning of Treasury Bills in Tanzania," The African Finance Journal, Africagrowth Institute, vol. 12(Conferenc), pages 58-74.
    • Handle: RePEc:afj:journl:v:12:y:2010:i:conference:p:58-74
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    Keywords

    Treasury bills auction; Bidding behavior; Cointegration; Bank of Tanzania;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E47 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects

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