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Capital Mobility, Saving and Investment Link: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa

Author

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  • Douglas Agbetsiafa

    (School of Business & Economics, Indiana University)

Abstract

The saving- investment correlation and its implication for capital mobility across borders has been sharply debated in the literature since the pioneering work of Feldstein and Horioka (1980). In this paper, the debate is extended to six emerging economies in Africa using cointegration tests proposed by Johansen and Juselius, and causality tests based on an error correction model. The results indicate that saving and investment are integrated of order one. Furthermore, cointegration tests show that the two series share a long-run equilibrium association in the six countries, and therefore lend support to the Feldstein-Horioka conclusion that long-term capital is not mobile internationally. The causality tests indicate a unidirectional causality from saving to investment in Ghana, Ivory Coast, Kenya, Nigeria, and Zambia, and a bidirectional causality for South Africa. These results have important policy implications, especially for these and other small open economies where increases in domestic saving will not necessarily translate into higher domestic investment.

Suggested Citation

  • Douglas Agbetsiafa, 2002. "Capital Mobility, Saving and Investment Link: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa," Journal of African Development, African Finance and Economic Association (AFEA), vol. 5(2), pages 1-19.
    • Handle: RePEc:afe:journl:v:5:y:2002:i:2:p:1-19
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Kumar, Saten & Sen, Rahul & Srivastava, Sadhana, 2014. "Does economic integration stimulate capital mobility? An analysis of four regional economic communities in Africa," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 33-50.
    2. Rajarshi Mitra, 2017. "Domestic Saving-Investment Correlation Puzzle Revisited: A Time Series Analysis for South Africa," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 37(2), pages 1217-1225.
    3. Apergis, Nicholas & Tsoumas, Chris, 2009. "A survey of the Feldstein-Horioka puzzle: What has been done and where we stand," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(2), pages 64-76, June.
    4. NGUENA, Christian L., 2011. "Heterogeneity of Saving-Investment Causality and Fiscal Coordination Implication: The Case of an African Monetary Union," MPRA Paper 49411, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 31 Aug 2013.
    5. Koté, Lassine & Sorgho, Zakaria & Ouedraogo, Carine, 2015. "La Mobilité des Capitaux en Afrique de l'Ouest: Investigations sur des pays de la CEDEAO [Mobility of Capital in West Africa: Study case of ECOWAS Countries]," MPRA Paper 65196, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Solarin Sakiru Adebola & Jauhari Dahalan, 2012. "Capital Mobility: An Application of Savings-Investment Link for Tunisia," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 2(1), pages 1-11.
    7. Taofeek Olusola Ayinde & Olumuyiwa Ganiyu Yinusa & Yulia Rodionova, 2018. "Global and Regional Capital Mobilities in Sub-Saharan African Economies: Complement or Substitute?," SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, University of Piraeus, vol. 68(4), pages 51-71, October-D.

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