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Survey Forecasts and Money Demand Functions: Some International Evidence

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  • Christian Pierdzioch
  • Jan-Christoph Rülke
  • Georg Stadtmann

Abstract

We derive a money demand function from a dynamic macroeconomic general equilibrium model to analyze the correlations between professional economists' forecasts of the growth rate of money supply, the inflation rate, the growth rate of real output, and the nominal interest rate. Upon estimating the money demand function on survey data of professional economists' forecasts for fourteen Asian-Pacific and Central and South-Eastern European countries, we find that the correlations between professional economists' forecasts are broadly consistent with the money demand function implied by the macroeconomic model.

Suggested Citation

  • Christian Pierdzioch & Jan-Christoph Rülke & Georg Stadtmann, 2011. "Survey Forecasts and Money Demand Functions: Some International Evidence," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, vol. 57(1), pages 5-14.
    • Handle: RePEc:aeq:aeqaeq:v57_y2011_i1_q1_p5-14
    DOI: 10.3790/aeq.57.1.5
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Ralf Fendel & Jan-Christoph Ruelke, 2014. "Expectations and the quantity equation - evidence from Eastern European countries," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(3), pages 329-335, January.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    money demand function; forecasts;

    JEL classification:

    • E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money
    • E47 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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