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Chapter 18 - Confronting Uncertainty: Contingency Planning for Decommissioning

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  • Bruce Biewald
  • Stephen Bernow

Abstract

Contingency factors are a standard ingredient in all types of estimated costs. The actual contingency figure used, however, is always open to question. Given the absence of large-scale decommissioning projects, the long future time reference, the history of early shutdowns, and possibility of accidents, there continues to be a substantial controversy regarding the contingency level that is most appropriate. In this chapter, Bruce Biewald and Stephen Bernow present a critical review of the matter of contingency factors, arguing that current common levels in the neighborhood of 25 percent are too low.

Suggested Citation

  • Bruce Biewald & Stephen Bernow, 1991. "Chapter 18 - Confronting Uncertainty: Contingency Planning for Decommissioning," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Special I), pages 233-246.
    • Handle: RePEc:aen:journl:1991si-a18
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    JEL classification:

    • F0 - International Economics - - General

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