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Interest Rates and World Trade: An "Austrian" Perspective

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  • Pol Antràs

Abstract

I develop a framework to study the interplay between world trade and interest rates. The model incorporates an explicit notion of time and production length, in the "Austrian" tradition of Bohm-Bawerk (1889). Changes in the interest rate affect production lengths, labor productivity, and the financial costs of exporting. I decompose the response of the volume of world trade to changes in the interest rate into four components: a labor productivity effect, a "propensity to consume out of labor income" effect, a "temporal dimension of variable trade costs" effect, and a "selection into exporting" effect.

Suggested Citation

  • Pol Antràs, 2023. "Interest Rates and World Trade: An "Austrian" Perspective," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 113, pages 65-69, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:aea:apandp:v:113:y:2023:p:65-69
    DOI: 10.1257/pandp.20231026
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • B53 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - Current Heterodox Approaches - - - Austrian
    • D21 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Theory
    • E14 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Austrian; Evolutionary; Institutional
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • F11 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Neoclassical Models of Trade

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