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Estimating the Disparate Cumulative Impact of the Pandemic in Administrative Unemployment Insurance Data

Author

Listed:
  • Alex Bell
  • T. J. Hedin
  • Peter Mannino
  • Roozbeh Moghadam
  • Carl Romer
  • Geoffrey C. Schnorr
  • Till von Wachter

Abstract

To better measure the full extent of the impact of the COVID-19 crisis on workers and the labor market, this paper estimates three measures of the cumulative impact of the pandemic on workers across intensive and extensive margins using longitudinal administrative unemployment insurance (UI) data from California. During the first year of the crisis, 30 percent of the labor force filed a UI claim, over 50 percent of recipients spent more than 6 months on the program, and the mean work time lost was 13 weeks. Less advantaged workers and counties saw much higher rates of claiming and long-term unemployment.

Suggested Citation

  • Alex Bell & T. J. Hedin & Peter Mannino & Roozbeh Moghadam & Carl Romer & Geoffrey C. Schnorr & Till von Wachter, 2022. "Estimating the Disparate Cumulative Impact of the Pandemic in Administrative Unemployment Insurance Data," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 112, pages 78-84, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:aea:apandp:v:112:y:2022:p:78-84
    DOI: 10.1257/pandp.20221008
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • H75 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations - - - State and Local Government: Health, Education, and Welfare
    • I12 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Health Behavior
    • J22 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Time Allocation and Labor Supply
    • J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
    • J65 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment Insurance; Severance Pay; Plant Closings
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population

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