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Dynamic Spending Responses to Wealth Shocks: Evidence from Quasi Lotteries on the Stock Market

Author

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  • Asger Lau Andersen
  • Niels Johannesen
  • Adam Sheridan

Abstract

How much and over what horizon do households adjust their consumption in response to stock market wealth shocks? We address these questions using granular data on spending and stock portfolios from a large bank and exploiting lottery-like variation in gains across investors with similar portfolio characteristics. Consistent with the permanent income hypothesis, spending responses to stock market gains are immediate and persistent. The monthly responses cumulate to marginal propensities to consume of 4.4 percent over one year and 16 percent over three years. The results suggest that inattention attenuates household responses to stock market cycles over horizons as long as one year.

Suggested Citation

  • Asger Lau Andersen & Niels Johannesen & Adam Sheridan, 2024. "Dynamic Spending Responses to Wealth Shocks: Evidence from Quasi Lotteries on the Stock Market," American Economic Review: Insights, American Economic Association, vol. 6(3), pages 434-452, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:aea:aerins:v:6:y:2024:i:3:p:434-52
    DOI: 10.1257/aeri.20230382
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    Cited by:

    1. Jappelli, Tullio & Savoia, Ettore & Sciacchetano, Alessandro, 2024. "Intertemporal MPC and Shock Size," Working Paper Series 443, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D12 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G51 - Financial Economics - - Household Finance - - - Household Savings, Borrowing, Debt, and Wealth

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