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Job Displacement and Earnings Losses: The Role of Joblessness

Author

Listed:
  • Bruce Fallick
  • John Haltiwanger
  • Erika McEntarfer
  • Matthew Staiger

Abstract

A large literature finds that workers displaced in mass layoffs experience persistent earnings losses. We find that the earnings penalty from job displacement is mediated by the length of the jobless spell after displacement. Workers who experience little or no joblessness suffer no losses on average; those who experience a prolonged period of joblessness experience large, persistent earnings losses. Job movers who experience joblessness tend to move to lower-paying firms, a phenomenon that informs our understanding of the mechanisms that generate earnings losses. We also find that jobless duration predicts earnings outcomes for separators generally, not only displaced workers.

Suggested Citation

  • Bruce Fallick & John Haltiwanger & Erika McEntarfer & Matthew Staiger, 2025. "Job Displacement and Earnings Losses: The Role of Joblessness," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 17(2), pages 177-205, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:aea:aejmac:v:17:y:2025:i:2:p:177-205
    DOI: 10.1257/mac.20210329
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
    • J31 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Wage Level and Structure; Wage Differentials
    • J62 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Job, Occupational and Intergenerational Mobility; Promotion
    • J63 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Turnover; Vacancies; Layoffs
    • J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search

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