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Comment on "Temperature and Decisions: Evidence from 207,000 Court Cases"

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  • Holger Spamann

Abstract

Heyes and Saberian (2019) estimate from 2000–2004 data that outdoor temperature reduces US immigration judges' propensity to grant asylum. This estimate is the result of coding and data errors and of sample selection. Correcting the errors reduces the point estimate by two-thirds, with a wide 95 percent confidence interval straddling zero. Enlarging the sample to 1990–2019 flips the point estimate's sign and rules out the effect size reported by Heyes and Saberian with very high confidence. An analysis of all criminal sentencing decisions by US federal district judges from 1992 to 2003 yields no evidence of temperature or other weather effects either.

Suggested Citation

  • Holger Spamann, 2022. "Comment on "Temperature and Decisions: Evidence from 207,000 Court Cases"," American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, American Economic Association, vol. 14(4), pages 519-528, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:aea:aejapp:v:14:y:2022:i:4:p:519-28
    DOI: 10.1257/app.20200118
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    File URL: https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/3LOR3R
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    Cited by:

    1. Bensch, Gunther & Ankel-Peters, Jörg & Vance, Colin, 2023. "Spotlight on Researcher Decisions – Infrastructure Evaluation, Instrumental Variables, and Specification Screening," VfS Annual Conference 2023 (Regensburg): Growth and the "sociale Frage" 277703, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    2. Braakmann, Nils, 2024. "Temperature, crime and policing: Evidence from UK geocoded data," SocArXiv ubf7m, Center for Open Science.
    3. Ankel-Peters, Jörg & Vance, Colin & Bensch, Gunther, 2022. "Spotlight on researcher decisions – Infrastructure evaluation, instrumental variables, and first-stage specification screening," OSF Preprints sw6kd, Center for Open Science.
    4. Mario Lackner & Hendrik Sonnabend, 2024. "When performance melts away: Heat causes mental errors in high-stakes competitions," Economics working papers 2024-11, Department of Economics, Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • K37 - Law and Economics - - Other Substantive Areas of Law - - - Immigration Law
    • K41 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - Litigation Process
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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