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The Value of Weather Information Services for Nineteenth-Century Great Lakes Shipping

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  • Craft, Erik D

Abstract

The U.S. government established a national weather organization in 1870. Changes in Great Lakes cargo and hull losses, and shipping rates from Chicago to Buffalo, provide evidence of the value of storm warnings on the Great Lakes. Nearly half of the Great Lakes storm-warning stations were closed during the fall of 1883 because of appropriations reductions. This exogenous shock permits the econometric estimation of the value of storm-warning locations on the Great Lakes. The results indicate that the social rate of return for weather expenditures during the Weather Bureau's founding period was at least 60 percent. Copyright 1998 by American Economic Association.

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  • Craft, Erik D, 1998. "The Value of Weather Information Services for Nineteenth-Century Great Lakes Shipping," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 88(5), pages 1059-1076, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:aea:aecrev:v:88:y:1998:i:5:p:1059-76
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    Cited by:

    1. Patrick L. Brockett & Mulong Wang & Chuanhou Yang, 2005. "Weather Derivatives and Weather Risk Management," Risk Management and Insurance Review, American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 8(1), pages 127-140, March.
    2. Christopher S Decker & William Corcoran & David T Flynn, 2011. "Shipwrecks on the Great Lakes and the Lake Carriers Association," Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, vol. 37(4), pages 450-469.
    3. Libecap, Gary D. & Hansen, Zeynep Kocabiyik, 2002. "“Rain Follows The Plow” And Dryfarming Doctrine: The Climate Information Problem And Homestead Failure In The Upper Great Plains, 1890–1925," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 62(1), pages 86-120, March.
    4. Lorenzo Zirulia, 2016. "‘Should I stay or should I go?’," Tourism Economics, , vol. 22(4), pages 837-846, August.
    5. Davide Cantoni & Noam Yuchtman, 2020. "Historical Natural Experiments: Bridging Economics and Economic History," NBER Working Papers 26754, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Patrick Brockett & Linda Goldens & Min-Ming Wen & Charles Yang, 2009. "Pricing Weather Derivatives Using the Indifference Pricing Approach," North American Actuarial Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(3), pages 303-315.
    7. Decker, Christopher & Flynn, David, 2009. "The impact of military forts on agricultural investments on the Great Plains in 1880," MPRA Paper 19556, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Renato Molina & Ivan Rudik, 2022. "The Social Value of Predicting Hurricanes," CESifo Working Paper Series 10049, CESifo.
    9. Anbarci, Nejat & Boyd III, John & Floehr, Eric & Lee, Jungmin & Song, Joon Jin, 2011. "Population and income sensitivity of private and public weather forecasting," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(2), pages 124-133, March.
    10. L. Zirulia, 2015. "Should I stay or should I go? : Weather forecasts and the economics of short breaks," Working Papers wp1034, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.

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