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A Balls-and-Bins Model of Trade: Comment*

* This paper is a replication of an original study

Author

Listed:
  • Bernardo S. Blum
  • Sebastian Claro
  • Ignatius J. Horstmann

Abstract

We show that the Armenter and Koren model's firm-product-country results rely on the assumption that export shipment size is independent of firm size, and this assumption is contradicted by the data. When actual shipment sizes are used in the balls-and-bins model, it cannot reproduce the data on single product/single country exporters. Beyond just showing that the shipment size assumption matters to balls-and-bins outcomes, our results highlight the important fact that shipment size is an economic decision, co-determined with other export choices. For this reason, we argue that a balls-and-bins model cannot be a purely statistical benchmark model. (JEL F11, F14, O13, O19, Q37)

Suggested Citation

  • Bernardo S. Blum & Sebastian Claro & Ignatius J. Horstmann, 2016. "A Balls-and-Bins Model of Trade: Comment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 106(3), pages 843-851, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:aea:aecrev:v:106:y:2016:i:3:p:843-51
    Note: DOI: 10.1257/aer.20140372
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kropf, Andreas & Sauré, Philip, 2014. "Fixed costs per shipment," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(1), pages 166-184.
    2. Ellison, Glenn & Glaeser, Edward L, 1997. "Geographic Concentration in U.S. Manufacturing Industries: A Dartboard Approach," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 105(5), pages 889-927, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    as


    Cited by:

    1. Roc Armenter & Miklós Koren, 2016. "A Balls-and-Bins Model of Trade: Reply," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 106(3), pages 852-854, March.

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    Replication

    This item is a replication of:
  • Roc Armenter & Mikl?s Koren, 2014. "A Balls-and-Bins Model of Trade," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 104(7), pages 2127-2151, July.

    • More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F11 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Neoclassical Models of Trade
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • O19 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - International Linkages to Development; Role of International Organizations
    • Q37 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Issues in International Trade

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    1. A Balls-and-Bins Model of Trade: Comment (AER 2016) in ReplicationWiki

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