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Our Current Misunderstanding of COVID-19 and the Valid Approach to Research: Should We Reopen the World Economy?

Author

Listed:
  • Robert C Sinclair

    (Professor/Consultant, Sinclair & Associates Consulting, 1614 Jane Street, North Bay, Canada. (bob.sinclair76@gmail.com))

  • Rajeev Kumar

    (Master of Technology and Computer Science, Dr. Ram Manohar Lohia Avadh University, Faizabad, India.)

Abstract

The study addresses issues related to the current epidemiological models being used to address the COVID-19 pandemic, and suggests the “curve†is a nebulous fairy tale. Furthermore, I argue that these models are based on invalid data and flawed assumptions. For example, epidemiologists are using a number of positive cases, identified in systematic data collection manners (e.g., primarily testing frontline workers and symptomatic people), as proxy measures for infection rate: I suggest that random sample testing, proportional to population density, would provide an exact measure of infection rate. Finally, I argue that we are not in a position to reopen the world economy until we have these data, we now need a twopronged approach through which we conduct random sample testing for both COVID-19 and COVID-19 antibodies, and that we are about to live in a new world in which physical distancing will be the norm.

Suggested Citation

  • Robert C Sinclair & Rajeev Kumar, 2020. "Our Current Misunderstanding of COVID-19 and the Valid Approach to Research: Should We Reopen the World Economy?," Global Economics Review, Humanity Only, vol. 5(1), pages 177-185, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:aaw:journl:v:5:y:2020:i:1:p:177-185
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    COVID-19; World Economy; Re-opening; Infection Rates; Random Sample Testing;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R00 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General - - - General
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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