IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/aaw/journl/v3y2018i1p90-97.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

China9apos9s Consumption Function: An Empirical Test of Absolute and Permanent Income Hypothesis

Author

Listed:
  • Saima Liaqat

    (Visiting PhD Scholar,)

  • Khalid Khan
  • Po Bunnika

Abstract

The study investigated the empirical rationale of Absolute and Permanent Income Hypothesis (AIH) & (PIH) for China by applying the yearly data from 1970-2016. The outcomes of the research study dismissed the validity of PIH, at the same time it reinforced the soundness of AIH in the country. The aftereffects of CMMl demonstrate that any change that occurs in expected income significantly affects the innovation in real private consumption. Moreover, the share of forward-looking households is genuinely lower than backward-looking households. Under the CMM the estimated value of (1- λ) for China is 0.25, which implies that by and large 25 percent of the households set their consumption base on permanent income, albeit the rest of the families take their consumption preferences are subject to current income, notwithstanding the outcomes of the study bring up a solid dismissal of PIH for China.

Suggested Citation

  • Saima Liaqat & Khalid Khan & Po Bunnika, 2018. "China9apos9s Consumption Function: An Empirical Test of Absolute and Permanent Income Hypothesis," Global Economics Review, Humanity Only, vol. 3(1), pages 90-97, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:aaw:journl:v:3:y:2018:i:1:p:90-97
    DOI: 10.31703/ger.2018(III-I).10
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://gerjournal.com/jadmin/Auther/31rvIolA2LALJouq9hkR/50Ctw7IdlO.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.gerjournal.com/issue/Chinas-Consumption-Function-An-Empirical-Test-of-Absolute-and-Permanent-Income-Hypothesis
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.31703/ger.2018(III-I).10?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Joshua K. Hausman & Johannes F. Wieland, 2014. "Abenomics: Preliminary Analysis and Outlook," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 48(1 (Spring), pages 1-76.
    2. S. Boragan Aruoba & Frank Schorfheide, 2011. "Sticky Prices versus Monetary Frictions: An Estimation of Policy Trade-Offs," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 3(1), pages 60-90, January.
    3. Joshua K. Hausman & Johannes F. Wieland, 2014. "Abenomics: Preliminary Analysis and Outlook," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 45(1 (Spring), pages 1-76.
    4. Jonathan A. Parker, 1999. "The Reaction of Household Consumption to Predictable Changes in Social Security Taxes," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 89(4), pages 959-973, September.
    5. Khalid Khan & Chen FEI & Muhammad Abdul Kamal & Sarfaraz Ahmed Shaikh, 2015. "Determinants of Consumption Function, In Case of China and G7 Countries," International Journal of Economics and Empirical Research (IJEER), The Economics and Social Development Organization (TESDO), vol. 3(4), pages 202-210, April.
    6. Hall, Robert E, 1988. "Intertemporal Substitution in Consumption," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 96(2), pages 339-357, April.
    7. B. Bhaskara Rao, 2005. "Testing Hall's permanent income hypothesis for a developing country: the case of Fiji," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(4), pages 245-248.
    8. Khalid Khan, 2012. "The Testing of Hall’s Permanent Income Hypothesis: A Case Study of Pakistan," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 2(4), pages 518-522.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ibrahim Ayoade Adekunle & Sheriffdeen Adewale Tella & Oluwaseyi Adedayo Adelowokan, 2021. "Macroeconomic policy volatility and household consumption in Africa," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 1(3), pages 1-22, March.
    2. Tomas Havranek & Anna Sokolova, 2016. "Do Consumers Really Follow a Rule of Thumb? Three Thousand Estimates from 130 Studies Say "Probably Not"," Working Papers 2016/08, Czech National Bank.
    3. Gianluca Benigno & Luca Fornaro, 2018. "Stagnation Traps," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 85(3), pages 1425-1470.
    4. Michael Weber & Daniel Hoang & Francesco D'Acunto, 2015. "Inflation Expectations and Consumption Expenditure," 2015 Meeting Papers 1266, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    5. Effah Nyamekye, Gabriel & Adusei Poku, Eugene, 2017. "What is the effect of inflation on consumer spending behaviour in Ghana?," MPRA Paper 81081, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Mudit Kapoor & Shamika Ravi, 2017. "Elasticity of Intertemporal Substitution in Consumption in the Presence of Inertia: Empirical Evidence from a Natural Experiment," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 63(12), pages 4188-4200, December.
    7. Yoichi Tsuchiya, 2021. "Crises, market shocks, and herding behavior in stock price forecasts," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(2), pages 919-945, August.
    8. Adrien Auclert, 2019. "Monetary Policy and the Redistribution Channel," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 109(6), pages 2333-2367, June.
    9. Campbell Leith & Eric Leeper, 2016. "Understanding Inflation as a Joint Monetary-Fiscal Phenomenon," Working Papers 2016_01, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
    10. Fujiwara, Ippei & Nakazono, Yoshiyuki & Ueda, Kozo, 2015. "Policy regime change against chronic deflation? Policy option under a long-term liquidity trap," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 59-81.
    11. Alisdair McKay, "undated". "Idiosyncratic risk, insurance, and aggregate consumption dynamics: a likelihood perspective," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 2013-013, Boston University - Department of Economics.
    12. Bilbiie, Florin O. & Straub, Roland, 2012. "Changes in the output Euler equation and asset markets participation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(11), pages 1659-1672.
    13. Wenti Du, 2021. "News and Market Efficiency in the Japanese Stock Market," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(3), pages 306-319, July.
    14. Claudio Borio & Anna Zabai, 2018. "Unconventional monetary policies: a re-appraisal," Chapters, in: Peter Conti-Brown & Rosa M. Lastra (ed.), Research Handbook on Central Banking, chapter 20, pages 398-444, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    15. Michaelis, Henrike & Watzka, Sebastian, 2014. "Are there Differences in the Effectiveness of Quantitative Easing in Japan over Time?," Discussion Papers in Economics 21087, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
    16. Jamal Ibrahim Haidar & Takeo Hoshi, "undated". "Implementing Structural Reforms in Abenomics: How to Reduce the Cost of Doing Business in Japan," Working Paper 316046, Harvard University OpenScholar.
    17. Miyamoto, Hiroaki, 2015. "Cyclical behavior of real wages in Japan," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 56-59.
    18. Takatoshi Ito, 2021. "An Assessment of Abenomics: Evolution and Achievements," Asian Economic Policy Review, Japan Center for Economic Research, vol. 16(2), pages 190-219, July.
    19. Thomas Mayer & Gunther Schnabl, 2022. "Japan's Low Inflation Conundrum," CESifo Working Paper Series 9821, CESifo.
    20. Orazio P. Attanasio & Guglielmo Weber, 2010. "Consumption and Saving: Models of Intertemporal Allocation and Their Implications for Public Policy," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 48(3), pages 693-751, September.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    AIH; PIH; Campbell and Mankiw Model; Forward-looking Households; Backward-looking Households;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R00 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General - - - General
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:aaw:journl:v:3:y:2018:i:1:p:90-97. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: M Imran Khan (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.humanityonly.com/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.