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Revisiting the trade effects of services agreements

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  • Shingal, Anirudh

Abstract

The proliferation of services trade agreements and improved availability of data on bilateral services trade flows has resulted in a growing literature on the theoretical and empirical assessment of services trade effects. In this paper, we revisit the trade effects of services agreements using an updated database on bilateral services trade flows from the OECD and based on recent developments in the estimation of structural gravity models. Our results suggest a services trade effect of 13.7% at the intensive margin, with significantly higher estimates for intra-EU trade. However, the trade effect becomes weakly significant when the estimation includes zero trade flows. Incorporation of anticipation effects in the analyses accentuates the average treatment effect significantly (and monotonically with time) but only at the intensive margin.

Suggested Citation

  • Shingal, Anirudh, 2013. "Revisiting the trade effects of services agreements," MPRA Paper 51243, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:51243
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    Cited by:

    1. Egger, Peter & MILE 02, Anirudh Shingal, 2014. "Determinants of services trade agreements," Papers 721, World Trade Institute.
    2. Pierre Sauvé & Anirudh Shingal, 2016. "Why Do Economies Enter into Preferential Agreements on Trade in Services? Assessing the Potential for Negotiated Regulatory Convergence in Asian Services Markets," Asian Development Review, MIT Press, vol. 33(1), pages 56-73, March.
    3. Sauvé, Pierre & Shingal, Anirudh, 2014. "Why do Countries enter into Preferential Agreements on Trade in Services? Assessing the Potential for Negotiated Regulatory Convergence in Asian Services Markets," Working Papers on Regional Economic Integration 129, Asian Development Bank.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Services trade; PTAs; gravity model; endogeneity; anticipation effects;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration

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