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The Slow Demographic Transition in Regions Vulnerable to Climate Change

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Listed:
  • Dao, Thang

    (University of Roehampton)

  • Kalkuhl, Matthias

    (Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change (MCC))

  • Vasilakis, Chrysovalantis

    (Bangor University)

Abstract

We consider how the demographic transition has been shaped in regions that are the least developed and the most vulnerable to climate change. Environmental conditions affect intra-household labor allocation because of the impacts on local resources under the poor infrastructural system. Climate change causes damage to local resources, offsetting the role of technological progress in saving time that women spend on their housework. Hence, the gender inequality in education/income is upheld, delaying declines in fertility and creating population momentum. The bigger population, in turn, degrades local resources through expanded production. The interplay between local resources, gender inequality, and population, under the persistent effect of climate change, may thus generate a slow demographic transition and stagnation. We provide empirical confirmation for our theoretical predictions from 44 Sub-Saharan African countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Dao, Thang & Kalkuhl, Matthias & Vasilakis, Chrysovalantis, 2022. "The Slow Demographic Transition in Regions Vulnerable to Climate Change," IZA Discussion Papers 15646, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
  • Handle: RePEc:iza:izadps:dp15646
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    climate change; local resources; fertility; gender inequality in education; slow demographic transition;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • J16 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Economics of Gender; Non-labor Discrimination
    • Q01 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - General - - - Sustainable Development
    • Q20 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - General
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • Q56 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environment and Development; Environment and Trade; Sustainability; Environmental Accounts and Accounting; Environmental Equity; Population Growth

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