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Expectations and exchange rate dynamics: a state-dependent pricing approach

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Abstract

We introduce elements of state-dependent pricing and strategic complementarity into an otherwise standard New Open Economy Macroeconomics (NOEM) model. Relative to previous NOEM works, there are new implications for the dynamics of real and nominal economic activity: complementarity in the timing of price adjustment alters an open economy's response to monetary disturbances. Using a two-country Producer-Currency-Pricing environment, our framework replicates key international features following a domestic monetary expansion: (i) a delayed surge in inflation across countries, (ii) a delayed overshooting of exchange rates, (iii)a J-curve dynamic in the domestic trade balance, and (iv) a high international output correlation relative to consumption correlation. Overall, the model is consistent with many empirical aspects of international economic fluctuations, while stressing pricing behavior and exchange rate effects highlighted in traditional Keynesian works.>

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  • Anthony Landry, 2006. "Expectations and exchange rate dynamics: a state-dependent pricing approach," Working Papers 0604, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:feddwp:0604
    Note: Published as: Landry, Anthony (2009), "Expectations and Exchange Rate Dynamics: A State-Dependent Pricing Approach," Journal of International Economics 78 (1): 60-71.
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    Cited by:

    1. Mina Kim & Deokwoo Nam & Jian Wang & Jason J. Wu, 2013. "International trade price stickiness and exchange rate pass-through in micro data: a case study on U.S.–China trade," Globalization Institute Working Papers 135, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    2. Craig Benedict & Mario J. Crucini & Anthony Landry, 2020. "On What States Do Prices Depend? Answers From Ecuador," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 52(8), pages 1909-1935, December.
    3. Choi, Chi-Young & Choi, Horag, 2016. "The role of two frictions in geographic price dispersion: When market friction meets nominal rigidity," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 1-27.
    4. Engel, Charles, 2014. "Exchange Rates and Interest Parity," Handbook of International Economics, in: Gopinath, G. & Helpman, . & Rogoff, K. (ed.), Handbook of International Economics, edition 1, volume 4, chapter 0, pages 453-522, Elsevier.
    5. Shuhei Takahashi, 2017. "State Dependency in Price and Wage Setting," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 13(1), pages 151-189, February.
    6. Hyunjoo Ryou & Cristina Terra, 2015. "Exchange Rate Dynamics under Financial Market Frictions," THEMA Working Papers 2015-03, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise.
    7. Mehmet Fatih, Ekinci, 2010. "Inattentive Consumers and Exchange Rate Volatility," MPRA Paper 26472, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 31 Oct 2010.
    8. Kano, Kazuko & Kano, Takashi, 2021. "Welfare Costs of Exchange Rate Fluctuations: Evidence from the 1972 Okinawa Reversion," Discussion paper series HIAS-E-114, Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University.
    9. Kang, Hyunju, 2015. "Currency invoicing and state-dependent pricing," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 50-59.
    10. Pippenger, John, 2012. "The Fragility of Overshooting," University of California at Santa Barbara, Economics Working Paper Series qt4rd5j98c, Department of Economics, UC Santa Barbara.
    11. Mina Kim & Deokwoo Nam & Jian Wang & Jason Wu, 2013. "International Trade Price Stickiness and Exchange Rate and Pass-Through in Micro Data: A Case Study on US-China Trade," Working Papers 202013, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
    12. Landry, Anthony, 2010. "State-dependent pricing, local-currency pricing, and exchange rate pass-through," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 34(10), pages 1859-1871, October.
    13. Shuhei Takahashi, 2018. "Does State-Dependent Wage Setting Generate Multiple Equilibria?," KIER Working Papers 991, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
    14. Ekinci, Mehmet Fatih, 2017. "Inattentive consumers and international business cycles," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 1-27.
    15. Philippe Jeanfils, 2008. "Imperfect exchange rate pass-through : the role of distribution services and variable demand elasticity," Working Paper Research 135, National Bank of Belgium.

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