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Rugged terrain, forest coverage, and insurgency in Myanmar

Author

Listed:
  • Wilfred Chow

    (Department of Politics and Public Administration, 25809The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong)

  • Enze Han

    (Department of Politics and Public Administration, 25809The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong)

Abstract

This paper examines whether non-monotonic patterns exist between forest coverage and conflict processes in Myanmar. Specifically, the paper finds that forest coverage and civil conflict follow an inverted U-shaped relationship: conflict decreases at extremely low and high densities of forest coverage but increases at medium and somewhat high forest densities. Following the logic of the variability of rugged terrain, we argue that this pattern reflects the dual mechanisms of refuge and tactical advantages for rebel groups, who intentionally use such terrain to maximize logistical advantage while minimizing the military advantages enjoyed by better equipped government forces.

Suggested Citation

  • Wilfred Chow & Enze Han, 2024. "Rugged terrain, forest coverage, and insurgency in Myanmar," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 41(3), pages 218-237, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:compsc:v:41:y:2024:i:3:p:218-237
    DOI: 10.1177/07388942231171334
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    References listed on IDEAS

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