IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/pacfin/v82y2023ics0927538x23002615.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Capital market liberalization and systemic risk of non-financial firms: Evidence from Chinese Stock Connect scheme

Author

Listed:
  • Li, Xiao-Lin
  • Li, Haofei
  • Ge, Xinyu
  • Si, Deng-Kui

Abstract

This paper examines the causal effect of capital market liberalization on the systemic risk of non-financial firms (NFFs), a topic that has received little attention in the literature. We exploit the launch of China's Stock Connect scheme as a quasi-natural experiment to identify the causal effect and find that capital market liberalization significantly raises the systemic risk of NFFs in China, especially for those with more concentrated supply chains and more reliance on trade credit. We explain this result by three main channels: increased market concentration, interfirm connectedness, and exposure to financial shocks. We also provide evidence that the inquiry letter and the Stock Connect Northbound Investor ID Model system, two regulatory measures implemented during the liberalization of China's capital market, mitigate the adverse effect of liberalization on the systemic risk of NFFs. Our findings offer new insight into the nexus between financial liberalization and instability and highlight the importance of strengthening regulations of capital markets to enhance the benefits of liberalization and reduce its risks for economic and financial stability.

Suggested Citation

  • Li, Xiao-Lin & Li, Haofei & Ge, Xinyu & Si, Deng-Kui, 2023. "Capital market liberalization and systemic risk of non-financial firms: Evidence from Chinese Stock Connect scheme," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:82:y:2023:i:c:s0927538x23002615
    DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2023.102190
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0927538X23002615
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.pacfin.2023.102190?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Viral V. Acharya & Lasse H. Pedersen & Thomas Philippon & Matthew Richardson, 2017. "Measuring Systemic Risk," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 30(1), pages 2-47.
    2. Gao, George P. & Moulton, Pamela C. & Ng, David T., 2017. "Institutional ownership and return predictability across economically unrelated stocks," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 45-63.
    3. Edmans, Alex & Levit, Doron & Reilly, Devin, 2014. "Governance and Comovement Under Common Ownership," CEPR Discussion Papers 10119, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    4. Zhanchi Wu & Yu Yuan, 2022. "Exchange Inquiry Letters and Stock Price Informativeness: Evidence from China," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(13), pages 3813-3823, October.
    5. Michael B Devereux & Changhua Yu, 2020. "International Financial Integration and Crisis Contagion," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 87(3), pages 1174-1212.
    6. Brooks, Chris & Chen, Zhong & Zeng, Yeqin, 2018. "Institutional cross-ownership and corporate strategy: The case of mergers and acquisitions," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 187-216.
    7. Lu, Jing & Qiu, Yuhang, 2023. "Does non-punitive regulation diminish stock price crash risk?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    8. Chen, Lin & Wen, Fenghua & Li, Wanyang & Yin, Hua & Zhao, Lili, 2022. "Extreme risk spillover of the oil, exchange rate to Chinese stock market: Evidence from implied volatility indexes," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    9. Li, Xiao-Lin & Wang, Lijuan & Kong, Dongmin, 2023. "Macro-prudential policy and systemic risk of real estate firms: Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
    10. John H. Boyd & Gianni De Nicoló, 2005. "The Theory of Bank Risk Taking and Competition Revisited," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 60(3), pages 1329-1343, June.
    11. Amihud, Yakov, 2002. "Illiquidity and stock returns: cross-section and time-series effects," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 5(1), pages 31-56, January.
    12. Dungey, Mardi & Flavin, Thomas & O'Connor, Thomas & Wosser, Michael, 2022. "Non-financial corporations and systemic risk," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    13. Park, Cyn-Young & Mercado, Rogelio V., 2014. "Determinants of financial stress in emerging market economies," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 199-224.
    14. Andrea Pawliczek & A. Nicole Skinner & Sarah L. C. Zechman, 2022. "Facilitating Tacit Collusion Through Voluntary Disclosure: Evidence from Common Ownership," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 60(5), pages 1651-1693, December.
    15. Alp Simsek, 2013. "Financial Innovation and Portfolio Risks," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 103(3), pages 398-401, May.
    16. Bretschger, Lucas & Kappel, Vivien & Werner, Therese, 2012. "Market concentration and the likelihood of financial crises," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(12), pages 3336-3345.
    17. Xie, Xiaofeng & Shi, Xinyu & Gu, Jing & Xu, Xun, 2023. "Examining the Contagion Effect of Credit Risk in a Supply Chain under Trade Credit and Bank Loan Offering," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    18. Cui, Chenyu & John, Kose & Pang, Jiaren & Wu, Haibin, 2018. "Employment protection and corporate cash holdings: Evidence from China's labor contract law," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 182-194.
    19. Liu, Xiaojun & Wang, Li & Dai, Yunhao, 2023. "Capital market liberalization and opportunistic insider sales: Evidence from China," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    20. Nikolay Osadchiy & Vishal Gaur & Sridhar Seshadri, 2016. "Systematic Risk in Supply Chain Networks," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 62(6), pages 1755-1777, June.
    21. Stiglitz, Joseph E., 2000. "Capital Market Liberalization, Economic Growth, and Instability," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 28(6), pages 1075-1086, June.
    22. Gofman, Michael, 2017. "Efficiency and stability of a financial architecture with too-interconnected-to-fail institutions," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(1), pages 113-146.
    23. Liang, Chin Chia & Troy, Carol & Rouyer, Ellen, 2020. "U.S. uncertainty and Asian stock prices: Evidence from the asymmetric NARDL model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    24. Bai, Ye & Chow, Darien Yan Pang, 2017. "Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect: An analysis of Chinese partial stock market liberalization impact on the local and foreign markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 182-203.
    25. Li, Xiangwen & Wu, Wenfeng, 2019. "Portfolio pumping and fund performance ranking: A performance-based compensation contract perspective," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 94-106.
    26. Baohui Wu & Feng Min & Fenghua Wen, 2023. "The stress contagion among financial markets and its determinants," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(11), pages 1267-1302, July.
    27. Chen, Bin-xia & Sun, Yan-lin, 2022. "The impact of VIX on China’s financial market: A new perspective based on high-dimensional and time-varying methods," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    28. Kevin P. Scheibe & Jennifer Blackhurst, 2018. "Supply chain disruption propagation: a systemic risk and normal accident theory perspective," International Journal of Production Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(1-2), pages 43-59, January.
    29. Bellavite Pellegrini, Carlo & Cincinelli, Peter & Meoli, Michele & Urga, Giovanni, 2022. "The contribution of (shadow) banks and real estate to systemic risk in China," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    30. Jie (Jack) He & Jiekun Huang, 2017. "Product Market Competition in a World of Cross-Ownership: Evidence from Institutional Blockholdings," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 30(8), pages 2674-2718.
    31. Yang, Kun & Wei, Yu & Li, Shouwei & He, Jianmin, 2020. "Asymmetric risk spillovers between Shanghai and Hong Kong stock markets under China’s capital account liberalization," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    32. Charles J. Hadlock & Joshua R. Pierce, 2010. "New Evidence on Measuring Financial Constraints: Moving Beyond the KZ Index," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 23(5), pages 1909-1940.
    33. Si, Deng-Kui & Li, Xiao-Lin, 2022. "Shadow banking business and firm risk-taking: Evidence from China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    34. Tor Jacobson & Erik Schedvin, 2015. "Trade Credit and the Propagation of Corporate Failure: An Empirical Analysis," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 83(4), pages 1315-1371, July.
    35. Cucinelli, Doriana & Soana, Maria Gaia, 2023. "Systemic risk in non financial companies: Does governance matter?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    36. Agnes Cheng, C.S. & Xie, Jing & Zhong, Yuxiang, 2023. "Common institutional blockholders and tail risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    37. Lv, Xueliang & Yu, Yue & Zhao, Xiaomeng & Si, Deng-Kui, 2023. "Minimum wage and household economic vulnerability: Evidence from China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 624-646.
    38. Zhang, Xingmin & Fu, Qiang & Lu, Liping & Wang, Qingyu & Zhang, Shuai, 2021. "Bank liquidity creation, network contagion and systemic risk: Evidence from Chinese listed banks," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    39. Carole Comerton-Forde & Tālis J. Putniņš, 2014. "Stock Price Manipulation: Prevalence and Determinants," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 18(1), pages 23-66.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Yin, Zhichao & Li, Xinqi & Si, Dengkui & Li, Xiaolin, 2023. "China stock market liberalization and company ESG performance: The mediating effect of investor attention," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 1396-1414.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Si, Deng-Kui & Wang, Meng & Ding, Hui, 2023. "Capital account liberalization and corporate maturity mismatch: The role of bank competition," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    2. Jia, Qiaoyu & Zhou, Jia'nan, 2021. "The dark side of stock market liberalization: Perspectives from corporate R&D activities in China," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    3. Li, Xiao-Lin & Wang, Lijuan & Kong, Dongmin, 2023. "Macro-prudential policy and systemic risk of real estate firms: Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
    4. Chen, Bin-xia & Sun, Yan-lin, 2024. "Financial market connectedness between the U.S. and China: A new perspective based on non-linear causality networks," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    5. Dungey, Mardi & Flavin, Thomas & O'Connor, Thomas & Wosser, Michael, 2022. "Non-financial corporations and systemic risk," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    6. Bajo, Emanuele & Croci, Ettore & Marinelli, Nicoletta, 2020. "Institutional investor networks and firm value," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 65-80.
    7. Alessandra Canepa & Fawaz Khaled, 2018. "Housing, Housing Finance and Credit Risk," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-23, May.
    8. Pichler, Anton & Poledna, Sebastian & Thurner, Stefan, 2021. "Systemic risk-efficient asset allocations: Minimization of systemic risk as a network optimization problem," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    9. Edgar A. Ghossoub & Robert R. Reed, 2019. "Banking competition, production externalities, and the effects of monetary policy," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 67(1), pages 91-154, February.
    10. Greenwood, Robin & Landier, Augustin & Thesmar, David, 2015. "Vulnerable banks," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(3), pages 471-485.
    11. Keming Li, 2021. "The effect of option trading," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-32, December.
    12. Wei, Xin & Liu, Xi & Zhang, Xueyong, 2022. "Shadow banking and the cross-section of stock returns," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    13. Li, Fei & Kang, Hao & Xu, Jingfeng, 2022. "Financial stability and network complexity: A random matrix approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 177-185.
    14. Wang, Fengrong & Mbanyele, William & Muchenje, Linda, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and stock liquidity: The mitigating effect of information disclosure," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    15. Lou, Zhaohui & Xie, Qizhuo & Shen, Jim Huangnan & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2024. "Does Supply Chain Finance (SCF) alleviate funding constraints of SMEs? Evidence from China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(PA).
    16. Lai, Karen M.Y. & Saffar, Walid & Zhu, Xindong (Kevin) & Liu, Yiye, 2020. "Political institutions, stock market liquidity and firm dividend policy: Some international evidence," Journal of Contemporary Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 16(1).
    17. Xu, Tianli & Xu, Longbing & Zhu, Siyuan, 2023. "Common ownership and executive pay-for-performance sensitivity: Evidence from China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    18. Najah Attig & Sean Cleary, 2014. "Organizational Capital and Investment-Cash Flow Sensitivity: The Effect of Management Quality Practices," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 43(3), pages 473-504, September.
    19. Lewellen, Katharina & Lowry, Michelle, 2021. "Does common ownership really increase firm coordination?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(1), pages 322-344.
    20. Lepers, Etienne & Sánchez Serrano, Antonio, 2020. "Decomposing financial (in)stability in emerging economies," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:82:y:2023:i:c:s0927538x23002615. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/pacfin .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.