IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/finlet/v58y2023ipbs1544612323007729.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Community resilience and house prices: A machine learning approach

Author

Listed:
  • Zheng, Yi

Abstract

Using community resilience data at the county level in the United States obtained from the Census Bureau, we find that improvements in community resilience are associated with an increase in real estate values. Our machine learning approach indicates that community resilience plays a significant role in shaping real estate value. Furthermore, we demonstrate that the Extra Trees Regressor (ETR) method performs the best based on the root mean squared error (RMSE) standard and is effective in predicting real estate prices in a different tested sample. Finally, we conduct a grid search, exploring various parameters to further reduce RMSE and optimize our ETR method.

Suggested Citation

  • Zheng, Yi, 2023. "Community resilience and house prices: A machine learning approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PB).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:58:y:2023:i:pb:s1544612323007729
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2023.104400
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1544612323007729
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.frl.2023.104400?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kuppenheimer, Gregory & Shelly, Stuart & Strauss, Jack, 2023. "Can machine learning identify sector-level financial ratios that predict sector returns?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    2. Sun, Xiaolei & Liu, Mingxi & Sima, Zeqian, 2020. "A novel cryptocurrency price trend forecasting model based on LightGBM," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    3. Wanyun Shao & Maaz Gardezi & Siyuan Xian, 2018. "Examining the Effects of Objective Hurricane Risks and Community Resilience on Risk Perceptions of Hurricanes at the County Level in the U.S. Gulf Coast: An Innovative Approach," Annals of the American Association of Geographers, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 108(5), pages 1389-1405, September.
    4. John M. Quigley, 1999. "Real Estate Prices and Economic Cycles," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 2(1), pages 1-20.
    5. Arif Almutairi & Monjur Mourshed & Raed Fawzi Mohammed Ameen, 2020. "Coastal community resilience frameworks for disaster risk management," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 101(2), pages 595-630, March.
    6. Baek, Seungho & Mohanty, Sunil K. & Glambosky, Mina, 2020. "COVID-19 and stock market volatility: An industry level analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    7. Awaworyi Churchill, Sefa & Baako, Kingsley Tetteh & Mintah, Kwabena & Zhang, Quanda, 2021. "Transport infrastructure and house prices in the long run," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 1-12.
    8. Adams, Zeno & Füss, Roland, 2010. "Macroeconomic determinants of international housing markets," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 38-50, March.
    9. David Matarrita-Cascante & Bernardo Trejos & Hua Qin & Dongoh Joo & Sigrid Debner, 2017. "Conceptualizing community resilience: Revisiting conceptual distinctions," Community Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(1), pages 105-123, January.
    10. Kathleen Sherrieb & Fran Norris & Sandro Galea, 2010. "Measuring Capacities for Community Resilience," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 99(2), pages 227-247, November.
    11. Joachim Zietz & Emily Zietz & G. Sirmans, 2008. "Determinants of House Prices: A Quantile Regression Approach," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 37(4), pages 317-333, November.
    12. Qin Fan & Karen Fisher-Vanden & H. Allen Klaiber, 2018. "Climate Change, Migration, and Regional Economic Impacts in the United States," Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, University of Chicago Press, vol. 5(3), pages 643-671.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yang, Eunjung & Kim, Jinwon & Pennington-Gray, Lori & Ash, Kevin, 2021. "Does tourism matter in measuring community resilience?," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    2. Haiyong Zhang & Xinyu Wang, 2018. "The impact of structural adjustment on housing prices in China," Asian-Pacific Economic Literature, The Crawford School, The Australian National University, vol. 32(1), pages 108-119, May.
    3. Bełej Mirosław, 2022. "Analysis of the Relationship Between COVID-19 Infections and Web-Based Housing Searches," Real Estate Management and Valuation, Sciendo, vol. 30(4), pages 89-102, December.
    4. Sameer Ali & Abraham George, 2022. "Modelling a community resilience index for urban flood-prone areas of Kerala, India (CRIF)," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 113(1), pages 261-286, August.
    5. Manyena, Bernard & Machingura, Fortunate & O'Keefe, Phil, 2019. "Disaster Resilience Integrated Framework for Transformation (DRIFT): A new approach to theorising and operationalising resilience," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 1-1.
    6. Engerstam, Sviatlana, 2020. "Macroeconomic determinants of apartment prices in Swedish and German cities," Working Paper Series 20/2, Royal Institute of Technology, Department of Real Estate and Construction Management & Banking and Finance.
    7. Nguyen Nghia Hoai & Chinda Thanwadee, 2015. "Investigating Factors Influencing Profits Enhancement in Real Estate Companies in Ho Chi Minh City, Viet Nam," International Journal of Business and Administrative Studies, Professor Dr. Bahaudin G. Mujtaba, vol. 1(3), pages 107-113.
    8. Paola Pasca & Evelyn Simone & Enrico Ciavolino & Alessia Rochira & Terri Mannarini, 2023. "A higher-order model of community resilience potential: development and assessment through confirmatory composite analysis based on partial least squares," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 1033-1054, April.
    9. Yamashiro, Hirochika & Nonaka, Hirofumi, 2021. "Estimation of processing time using machine learning and real factory data for optimization of parallel machine scheduling problem," Operations Research Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 8(C).
    10. Abinash Bhattachan & Matthew D. Jurjonas & Priscilla R. Morris & Paul J. Taillie & Lindsey S. Smart & Ryan E. Emanuel & Erin L. Seekamp, 2019. "Linking residential saltwater intrusion risk perceptions to physical exposure of climate change impacts in rural coastal communities of North Carolina," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 97(3), pages 1277-1295, July.
    11. Trojanek, Radoslaw & Huderek-Glapska, Sonia, 2018. "Measuring the noise cost of aviation – The association between the Limited Use Area around Warsaw Chopin Airport and property values," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 103-114.
    12. Jones, Lindsey & d'Errico, Marco, 2019. "Whose resilience matters? Like-for-like comparison of objective and subjective evaluations of resilience," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 1-1.
    13. Pagano, Michael S. & Sedunov, John & Velthuis, Raisa, 2021. "How did retail investors respond to the COVID-19 pandemic? The effect of Robinhood brokerage customers on market quality," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    14. Peddy PiYing Lai, 2017. "The value of park and green space as reflected by house prices in Taiwan," ERES eres2017_353, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
    15. Al-Maadid, Alanoud & Alhazbi, Saleh & Al-Thelaya, Khaled, 2022. "Using machine learning to analyze the impact of coronavirus pandemic news on the stock markets in GCC countries," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    16. Qin Fan & Meri Davlasheridze, 2019. "Economic Impacts Of Migration And Brain Drain After Major Catastrophe: The Case Of Hurricane Katrina," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 10(01), pages 1-21, February.
    17. Alireza Rezazadeh & Yasamin Jafarian & Ali Kord, 2022. "Explainable Ensemble Machine Learning for Breast Cancer Diagnosis Based on Ultrasound Image Texture Features," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 4(1), pages 1-13, February.
    18. Lin, Jen-Jia & Cheng, Yu-Chun, 2016. "Access to jobs and apartment rents," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 121-128.
    19. Theodore Panagiotidis & Panagiotis Printzis, 2016. "On the macroeconomic determinants of the housing market in Greece: a VECM approach," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 13(3), pages 387-409, July.
    20. Raul-Tomas Mora-Garcia & Maria-Francisca Cespedes-Lopez & V. Raul Perez-Sanchez & Pablo Marti & Juan-Carlos Perez-Sanchez, 2019. "Determinants of the Price of Housing in the Province of Alicante (Spain): Analysis Using Quantile Regression," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-33, January.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Community resilience; Real estate property; Machine learning;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D14 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Household Saving; Personal Finance
    • G51 - Financial Economics - - Household Finance - - - Household Savings, Borrowing, Debt, and Wealth
    • R30 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:58:y:2023:i:pb:s1544612323007729. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/frl .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.