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Crecimiento económico y transición demográfica: un modelo y el caso colombiano de los siglos XIX y XX

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  • Carlos Esteban Posada

Abstract

En este artículo se presenta la adaptación y el uso de un modelo de Lucas (2002) de crecimiento económico, transición demográfica y acumulación de capital humano, para interpretar la evolución demográfica y macroeconómica de Colombia en los siglos xix y xx. El ejercicio muestra la pertinencia del modelo, pero también hace evidentes sus limitaciones. Entre estas sobresale una: en contra de lo que predice el modelo, la productividad marginal del capital humano cayó en la segunda mitad del siglo xx.

Suggested Citation

  • Carlos Esteban Posada, 2013. "Crecimiento económico y transición demográfica: un modelo y el caso colombiano de los siglos XIX y XX," Revista Desarrollo y Sociedad, Universidad de los Andes,Facultad de Economía, CEDE, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000090:010958
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    fertilidad; dilema cantidad-calidad de hijos; capital humano; transición demográfica; crecimiento económico.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
    • N3 - Economic History - - Labor and Consumers, Demography, Education, Health, Welfare, Income, Wealth, Religion, and Philanthropy
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development

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