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Model Uncertainty in Panel Vector Autoregressive Models
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- Gefang, Deborah & Koop, Gary & Poon, Aubrey, 2023. "Forecasting using variational Bayesian inference in large vector autoregressions with hierarchical shrinkage," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 346-363.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2019.
"Forecasting with High‐Dimensional Panel VARs,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 81(5), pages 937-959, October.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2015. "Forecasting With High Dimensional Panel VARs," Working Papers 2015_25, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2018. "Forecasting with High-Dimensional Panel VARs," Working Paper series 18-20, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Koop, G & Korobilis, D, 2018. "Forecasting with High-Dimensional Panel VARs," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 21329, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2015. "Forecasting with High-Dimensional Panel VARs," MPRA Paper 84275, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 31 Jan 2018.
- Thomas Goda & Santiago Sánchez González, 2024.
"Export Market Size Matters: The Effect of the Market Size of Export Destinations on Manufacturing Growth,"
International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(1), pages 21-44, January.
- Thomas Goda, Santiago Sánchez, 2022. "Export Market Size Matters: The effect of the market size of export destinations on manufacturing growth," Documentos de Trabajo de Valor Público 20531, Universidad EAFIT.
- Deborah Gefang & Gary Koop & Aubrey Poon, 2019.
"Variational Bayesian Inference in Large Vector Autoregressions with Hierarchical Shrinkage,"
Discussion Papers in Economics
19/05, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
- Deborah Gefang & Gary Koop & Aubrey Poon, 2019. "Variational Bayesian inference in large Vector Autoregressions with hierarchical shrinkage," CAMA Working Papers 2019-08, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Deborah Gefang & Gary Koop & Aubrey Poon, 2019. "Variational Bayesian Inference in Large Vector Autoregressions with Hierarchical Shrinkage," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2019-07, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2022.
"APPROXIMATE BAYESIAN INFERENCE AND FORECASTING IN HUGE‐DIMENSIONAL MULTICOUNTRY VARs,"
International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 63(4), pages 1625-1658, November.
- Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2021. "Approximate Bayesian inference and forecasting in huge-dimensional multi-country VARs," Papers 2103.04944, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2022.
- Georgios Magkonis & Simon Rudkin, 2019. "Does Trilemma Speak Chinese?," Working Papers in Economics & Finance 2019-01, University of Portsmouth, Portsmouth Business School, Economics and Finance Subject Group.
- Billio, Monica & Casarin, Roberto & Rossini, Luca, 2019.
"Bayesian nonparametric sparse VAR models,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 212(1), pages 97-115.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Luca Rossini, 2016. "Bayesian nonparametric sparse VAR models," Papers 1608.02740, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2018.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Chenghan Hou & Gary Koop, 2020.
"Composite likelihood methods for large Bayesian VARs with stochastic volatility,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(6), pages 692-711, September.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Chenghan Hou & Gary Koop, 2018. "Composite Likelihood Methods for Large Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility," Working Paper Series 44, Economics Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Chenghan Hou & Gary Koop, 2018. "Composite likelihood methods for large Bayesian VARs with stochastic volatility," CAMA Working Papers 2018-26, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Camehl, Annika, 2023. "Penalized estimation of panel vector autoregressive models: A panel LASSO approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1185-1204.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Kenichi Shimizu, 2022.
"Bayesian Approaches to Shrinkage and Sparse Estimation,"
Foundations and Trends(R) in Econometrics, now publishers, vol. 11(4), pages 230-354, June.
- Korobilis, Dimitris & Shimizu, Kenichi, 2021. "Bayesian Approaches to Shrinkage and Sparse Estimation," MPRA Paper 111631, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Kenichi Shimizu, 2021. "Bayesian Approaches to Shrinkage and Sparse Estimation," Working Papers 2021_19, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Kenichi Shimizu, 2022. "Bayesian Approaches to Shrinkage and Sparse Estimation," Working Paper series 22-02, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Kenichi Shimizu, 2021. "Bayesian Approaches to Shrinkage and Sparse Estimation," Papers 2112.11751, arXiv.org.
- Schnücker, A.M., 2019. "Penalized Estimation of Panel Vector Autoregressive Models," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI-2019-33, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Florian Huber & Daniel Kaufmann, 2020.
"Trend Fundamentals and Exchange Rate Dynamics,"
Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 87(348), pages 1016-1036, October.
- Florian Huber & Daniel Kaufmann, 2015. "Trend Fundamentals and Exchange Rate Dynamics," KOF Working papers 15-393, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Florian Huber & Daniel Kaufmann, 2016. "Trend Fundamentals and Exchange Rate Dynamics," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp214, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
- Huber, Florian & Kaufmann, Daniel, 2016. "Trend Fundamentals and Exchange Rate Dynamics," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 214, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
- Florian, Huber & Kaufmann, Daniel, 2019. "Trend Fundamentals and Exchange Rate Dynamics," Working Papers in Economics 2019-4, University of Salzburg.
- Fang Ye, 2023. "The New Development Bank and the structure of the multilateral development financial system," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(3), pages 1957-1972, August.
- Wang, Shengquan & Chen, Langnan & Xiong, Xiong, 2019. "Asset bubbles, banking stability and economic growth," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 108-117.
- Florian Huber & Tam'as Krisztin & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2018. "A Bayesian panel VAR model to analyze the impact of climate change on high-income economies," Papers 1804.01554, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2021.
- Yu Bai & Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2022.
"Macroeconomic forecasting in a multi‐country context,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(6), pages 1230-1255, September.
- Yu Bai & Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2022. "Macroeconomic Forecasting in a Multi-country Context," Working Papers 22-02, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Bai, Yu & Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2022. "Macroeconomic Forecasting in a Multi-country Context," CEPR Discussion Papers 16994, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Anthony Orji & Jonathan E. Ogbuabor & Chiamaka F. Okolomike & Onyinye I. Anthony-Orji, 2022. "Do Capital Inflows and Financial Development, Influence Economic Growth in West Africa? Further Evidence from Transmission Mechanisms," Econometric Research in Finance, SGH Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis, vol. 7(1), pages 71-94.
- Till Weigt & Bernd Wilfling, 2021.
"An approach to increasing forecast‐combination accuracy through VAR error modeling,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(4), pages 686-699, July.
- Till Weigt & Bernd Wilfling, 2018. "An approach to increasing forecast-combination accuracy through VAR error modeling," CQE Working Papers 6818, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
- Samuel F. Onipede & Nafiu A. Bashir & Jamaladeen Abubakar, 2023. "Small open economies and external shocks: an application of Bayesian global vector autoregression model," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 1673-1699, April.
- Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Hassapis, Christis, 2017.
"Does economic policy uncertainty forecast real housing returns in a panel of OECD countries? A Bayesian approach,"
The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 50-60.
- Christina Christou & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis, 2016. "Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Forecast Real Housing Returns in a Panel of OECD Countries? A Bayesian Approach," Working Papers 201637, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Mark F. J. Steel, 2020.
"Model Averaging and Its Use in Economics,"
Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 58(3), pages 644-719, September.
- Steel, Mark F. J., 2017. "Model Averaging and its Use in Economics," MPRA Paper 81568, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Steel, Mark F. J., 2017. "Model Averaging and its Use in Economics," MPRA Paper 90110, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 16 Nov 2018.
- Annalisa Marini & Steve McCorriston, 2017.
"Propagation of Commodity Market Shocks,"
Discussion Papers
1708, University of Exeter, Department of Economics.
- Annalisa Marini & Steve McCorriston, 2019. "Price Transmission in Commodity Networks," Discussion Papers 1903, University of Exeter, Department of Economics.
- Schnücker, Annika, 2016. "Restrictions Search for Panel VARs," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145566, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Annalisa Marini, 2019.
"The Impact of Weather on Commodity Prices: A Warning for the Future,"
Discussion Papers
1902, University of Exeter, Department of Economics.
- Marini, Annalisa, 2020. "The Impact of Weather on Commodity Prices: A Warning for the Future," MPRA Paper 104572, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Hazar Altınbaş & Vincenzo Pacelli & Edgardo Sica, 2022. "An Empirical Assessment of the Contagion Determinants in the Euro Area in a Period of Sovereign Debt Risk," Italian Economic Journal: A Continuation of Rivista Italiana degli Economisti and Giornale degli Economisti, Springer;Società Italiana degli Economisti (Italian Economic Association), vol. 8(2), pages 339-371, July.
- Ters, Kristyna & Urban, Jörg, 2018. "Intraday dynamics of credit risk contagion before and during the euro area sovereign debt crisis: Evidence from central Europe," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 123-142.
- Matheus Koengkan & José Alberto Fuinhas, 2022. "The Interactions Between Renewable Energy Consumption, Economic Growth, and Globalisation: Fresh Evidence from the Mercosur Countries," Springer Books, in: Globalisation and Energy Transition in Latin America and the Caribbean, chapter 0, pages 63-99, Springer.
- Annika Schnücker, 2016. "Restrictions Search for Panel VARs," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1612, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Ferry Syarifuddin, 2020. "Macroeconomic Consequences Of Foreign Exchange Futures," Working Papers WP/14/2020, Bank Indonesia.
- Huang, Yingying & Duan, Kun & Mishra, Tapas, 2021. "Is Bitcoin really more than a diversifier? A pre- and post-COVID-19 analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
- Korobilis, Dimitris, 2016.
"Prior selection for panel vector autoregressions,"
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 110-120.
- Korobilis, Dimitris, 2015. "Prior selection for panel vector autoregressions," SIRE Discussion Papers 2015-73, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Dimitris Korobilis., 2015. "Prior selection for panel vector autoregressions," Working Papers 2015_10, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Korobilis, Dimitris, 2015. "Prior selection for panel vector autoregressions," MPRA Paper 64143, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Renato Santiago & Matheus Koengkan & José Alberto Fuinhas & António Cardoso Marques, 2020. "The relationship between public capital stock, private capital stock and economic growth in the Latin American and Caribbean countries," International Review of Economics, Springer;Happiness Economics and Interpersonal Relations (HEIRS), vol. 67(3), pages 293-317, September.
- Ozcan, Burcu & Tzeremes, Panayiotis G. & Tzeremes, Nickolaos G., 2020. "Energy consumption, economic growth and environmental degradation in OECD countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 203-213.
- Lubos Komarek & Kristyna Ters & Jorg Urban, 2016.
"Intraday Dynamics of Euro Area Sovereign Credit Risk Contagion,"
Working Papers
2016/04, Czech National Bank.
- Lubos Komarek & Kristyna Ters, 2016. "Intraday dynamics of euro area sovereign credit risk contagion," BIS Working Papers 573, Bank for International Settlements.
- Jesús Crespo Cuaresma & Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber, 2016. "Forecasting with Global Vector Autoregressive Models: a Bayesian Approach," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(7), pages 1371-1391, November.
- Antonio Pacifico, 2021. "Structural Panel Bayesian VAR with Multivariate Time-Varying Volatility to Jointly Deal with Structural Changes, Policy Regime Shifts, and Endogeneity Issues," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-35, May.
- Beckmann, Joscha & Davidson, Sharada Nia & Koop, Gary & Schüssler, Rainer, 2023. "Cross-country uncertainty spillovers: Evidence from international survey data," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
- Michelle, Gilmartin, 2016. "A note on the identification and transmission of energy demand and supply shocks," MPRA Paper 76186, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Joshua Chan, 2023. "BVARs and Stochastic Volatility," Papers 2310.14438, arXiv.org.
- Liao, Jun & Zong, Xianpeng & Zhang, Xinyu & Zou, Guohua, 2019. "Model averaging based on leave-subject-out cross-validation for vector autoregressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 209(1), pages 35-60.
- Christou, Christina & Cunado, Juncal & Gupta, Rangan & Hassapis, Christis, 2017.
"Economic policy uncertainty and stock market returns in PacificRim countries: Evidence based on a Bayesian panel VAR model,"
Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 92-102.
- Christina Christou & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta & Christis Hassapis, 2016. "Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Returns in Pacific-Rim Countries: Evidence based on a Bayesian Panel VAR Model," Working Papers 201661, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Camehl, Annika & von Schweinitz, Gregor, 2023. "What explains international interest rate co-movement?," IWH Discussion Papers 3/2023, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), revised 2023.
- Syarifuddin, Ferry, 2020. "Macroeconomic Consequences of Foreign Exchange Futures Market for Inflation Targeting Economies," MPRA Paper 104810, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Hongbo Liu & Shuanglu Liang & Qingbo Cui, 2020. "The Nexus between Economic Complexity and Energy Consumption under the Context of Sustainable Environment: Evidence from the LMC Countries," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(1), pages 1-14, December.
- Prüser, Jan & Blagov, Boris, 2022. "Improving inference and forecasting in VAR models using cross-sectional information," Ruhr Economic Papers 960, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
- Marszk, Adam & Lechman, Ewa, 2019. "New technologies and diffusion of innovative financial products: Evidence on exchange-traded funds in selected emerging and developed economies," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
- Rasool Dehghanzadeh Shahabad & Mehmet Balcilar, 2022. "Modelling the Dynamic Interaction between Economic Policy Uncertainty and Commodity Prices in India: The Dynamic Autoregressive Distributed Lag Approach," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-21, May.
- Karol Szafranek & Marek Kwas & Grzegorz Szafrański & Zuzanna Wośko, 2020. "Common Determinants of Credit Default Swap Premia in the North American Oil and Gas Industry. A Panel BMA Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-23, November.
- Roth, Markus, 2020. "Partial pooling with cross-country priors: An application to house price shocks," Discussion Papers 06/2020, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Annika Camehl & Tomasz Wo'zniak, 2023. "Time-Varying Identification of Monetary Policy Shocks," Papers 2311.05883, arXiv.org, revised May 2024.
- Sharada Nia Davidson, 2022. "Regional Integration and Decoupling in the Asia Pacific: A Bayesian Panel VAR Approach," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 70(4), pages 773-807, December.
- Davidson, Sharada Nia, 2020. "Interdependence or contagion: A model switching approach with a focus on Latin America," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 166-197.
- Korobilis, Dimitris, 2015. "Prior selection for panel vector autoregressions," 2007 Annual Meeting, July 29-August 1, 2007, Portland, Oregon TN 2015-73, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
- Huang, Yin-Siang & Chuang, Hui-Ching & Hasan, Iftekhar & Lin, Chih-Yung, 2024. "Search symbols, trading performance, and investor participation," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 380-393.
- Huang, Yin-Siang & Chuang, Hui-Ching & Hasan, Iftekhar & Lin, Chih-Yung, 2021. "The effect of language on investing: Evidence from searches in Chinese versus English," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).