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The Restrictions on Predictability Implied by Rational Asset Pricing Models
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- Yao, Juan & Gao, Jiti & Alles, Lakshman, 2005. "Dynamic investigation into the predictability of Australian industrial stock returns: Using financial and economic information," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 13(2), pages 225-245, March.
- Balduzzi, Pierluigi & Robotti, Cesare, 2010.
"Asset pricing models and economic risk premia: A decomposition,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 54-80, January.
- Pierluigi Balduzzi & Cesare Robotti, 2005. "Asset-pricing models and economic risk premia: a decomposition," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2005-13, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Bannigidadmath, Deepa, 2015.
"Are Indian stock returns predictable?,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 506-531.
- Bannigidadmath, Deepa & Narayan, Paresh Kumar, 2015. "Are Indian stock returns predictable?," Working Papers fe_2015_07, Deakin University, Department of Economics.
- Neely, Christopher J., 2022.
"How persistent are unconventional monetary policy effects?,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
- Christopher J. Neely, 2014. "How Persistent Are Unconventional Monetary Policy Effects?," Working Papers 2014-004, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 15 Apr 2022.
- Leonid Kogan & Raman Uppal, "undated".
"Risk Aversion and Optimal Portfolio Policies in Partial and General Equilibrium Economies,"
Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research Working Papers
13-00, Wharton School Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research.
- Uppal, Raman & Kogan, Leonid, 2002. "Risk Aversion and Optimal Portfolio Policies in Partial and General Equilibrium Economies," CEPR Discussion Papers 3306, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Leonid Kogan & Raman Uppal, 2001. "Risk Aversion and Optimal Portfolio Policies in Partial and General Equilibrium Economies," NBER Working Papers 8609, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Lioui, Abraham & Poncet, Patrice, 2003.
"International asset allocation: A new perspective,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(11), pages 2203-2230, November.
- Abraham Lioui & Patrice Poncet, 2001. "International Asset Allocation: A New Perspective," Working Papers 2001-04, Bar-Ilan University, Department of Economics.
- Fletcher, Jonathan, 2001. "An examination of predictable risk and return in UK stock returns," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 53(6), pages 527-546.
- Bali, Turan G. & Cakici, Nusret & Chabi-Yo, Fousseni, 2015. "A new approach to measuring riskiness in the equity market: Implications for the risk premium," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 101-117.
- Nijman, T.E. & de Roon, F.A., 2001. "Testing for mean-variance spanning : A survey," Other publications TiSEM 0159f80a-c61b-4519-b004-a, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
- George, Thomas J & Hwang, Chuan-Yang, 2001. "Information Flow and Pricing Errors: A Unified Approach to Estimation and Testing," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 14(4), pages 979-1020.
- Kevin L. Reffett & Frank Schorfheide, 2000. "Evaluating Asset Pricing Implications of DSGE Models," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 1630, Econometric Society.
- Hansen, Erwin, 2022. "Economic evaluation of asset pricing models under predictability," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 50-66.
- Kan, Raymond & Robotti, Cesare, 2008.
"Specification tests of asset pricing models using excess returns,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(5), pages 816-838, December.
- Raymond Kan & Cesare Robotti, 2006. "Specification tests of asset pricing models using excess returns," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2006-10, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Favero, Carlo A. & Tamoni, Andrea & Ortu, Fulvio & Yang, Haoxi, 2016. "Implications of Return Predictability across Horizons for Asset Pricing Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 11645, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Lin Liu & Qiguang Chen, 2020. "How to compare market efficiency? The Sharpe ratio based on the ARMA-GARCH forecast," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 6(1), pages 1-21, December.
- Levich, Richard M. & Potì, Valerio, 2015.
"Predictability and ‘good deals’ in currency markets,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 454-472.
- Richard M. Levich & Valerio Poti, 2008. "Predictability and 'Good Deals' in Currency Markets," NBER Working Papers 14597, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Frans de Roon & Marta Szymanowska, 2012. "Asset Pricing Restrictions on Predictability: Frictions Matter," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 58(10), pages 1916-1932, October.
- Brennan, M.J. & Taylor, Alex P., 2023. "Expected returns and risk in the stock market," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 276-300.
- Liu, Ludan, 2008. "It takes a model to beat a model: Volatility bounds," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(1), pages 80-110, January.
- Doron Avramov, "undated". "Stock-Return Predictability and Model Uncertainty," Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research Working Papers 12-00, Wharton School Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research.
- Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Sharma, Susan Sunila & Narayan, Paresh Kumar, 2015.
"Stock return forecasting: Some new evidence,"
International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 38-51.
- Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Sharma, Susan Sunila & Narayan, Paresh Kumar, 2015. "Stock return forecasting: some new evidence," Working Papers fe_2015_13, Deakin University, Department of Economics.
- DeRoon, Frans A. & Nijman, Theo E., 2001.
"Testing for mean-variance spanning: a survey,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 8(2), pages 111-155, May.
- de Roon, F.A. & Nijman, T.E., 1998. "Testing for mean-variance spanning : A survey," Discussion Paper 1998-132, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
- Zhou, Guofu, 2010. "How much stock return predictability can we expect from an asset pricing model?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 108(2), pages 184-186, August.
- Lansing, Kevin J. & LeRoy, Stephen F. & Ma, Jun, 2022.
"Examining the sources of excess return predictability: Stochastic volatility or market inefficiency?,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 197(C), pages 50-72.
- Kevin J. Lansing & Stephen F. LeRoy & Jun Ma, 2022. "Examining the Sources of Excess Return Predictability: Stochastic Volatility or Market Inefficiency?," Working Paper Series 2018-14, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Cesare Robotti, 2003. "Dynamic strategies, asset pricing models, and the out-of-sample performance of the tangency portfolio," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2003-6, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Doron Avramov & Guofu Zhou, 2010. "Bayesian Portfolio Analysis," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 2(1), pages 25-47, December.
- Park, Jin Suk & Newaz, Mohammad Khaleq, 2021. "Liquidity and short-run predictability: Evidence from international stock markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
- Potì, Valerio & Levich, Richard & Conlon, Thomas, 2020. "Predictability and pricing efficiency in forward and spot, developed and emerging currency markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
- Pierluigi Balduzzi & Cesare Robotti, 2001. "Minimum-variance kernels, economic risk premia, and tests of multi-beta models," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2001-24, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Bekaert, Geert & Liu, Jun, 2001. "Conditioning Information and Variance on Pricing Kernals," University of California at Los Angeles, Anderson Graduate School of Management qt9m7392rq, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA.
- Fletcher, Jonathan & Hillier, Joe, 2002. "An examination of the economic significance of stock return predictability in UK stock returns," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 11(4), pages 373-392.
- Bakshi, Gurdip & Panayotov, George, 2013. "Predictability of currency carry trades and asset pricing implications," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(1), pages 139-163.
- Wessel Marquering, 2006. "Do consumption-based asset pricing models explain return predictability?," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(14), pages 1019-1027.
- Bessler, Wolfgang & Drobetz, Wolfgang & Zimmermann, Heinz, 2007. "Conditional Performance Evaluation for German Mutual Equity Funds," Working papers 2007/22, Faculty of Business and Economics - University of Basel.
- Hjalmarsson, Erik, 2018. "Maximal predictability under long-term mean reversion," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 269-282.
- Heber Farnsworth & Wayne E. Ferson & David Jackson & Steven Todd, 2002. "Performance Evaluation with Stochastic Discount Factors," NBER Working Papers 8791, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Rapach, David & Zhou, Guofu, 2013. "Forecasting Stock Returns," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 328-383, Elsevier.