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The political economy of tax projections
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- Thiess Buettner & Bjoern Kauder, 2015. "Political biases despite external expert participation? An empirical analysis of tax revenue forecasts in Germany," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 164(3), pages 287-307, September.
- Björn Kauder & Niklas Potrafke & Christoph Schinke, 2017.
"Manipulating Fiscal Forecasts: Evidence from the German States,"
FinanzArchiv: Public Finance Analysis, Mohr Siebeck, Tübingen, vol. 73(2), pages 213-236, June.
- Björn Kauder & Niklas Potrafke & Christoph Schinke, 2017. "Manipulating Fiscal Forecasts: Evidence from the German States," CESifo Working Paper Series 6310, CESifo.
- Chatagny, Florian, 2015.
"Incentive effects of fiscal rules on the finance minister's behavior: Evidence from revenue projections in Swiss Cantons,"
European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 184-200.
- Florian Chatagny, 2013. "Incentive Effects of Fiscal Rules on the Finance Minister's Behaviour: Evidence from Revenue Projections in Swiss Cantons," KOF Working papers 13-347, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Florian Chatagny, 2015. "Incentive Effects of Fiscal Rules on the Finance Minister's Behaviour: Evidence from Revenue Projections in Swiss Cantons," CESifo Working Paper Series 5223, CESifo.
- Beate Jochimsen & Robert Lehmann, 2017.
"On the political economy of national tax revenue forecasts: evidence from OECD countries,"
Public Choice, Springer, vol. 170(3), pages 211-230, March.
- Beate Jochimsen & Robert Lehmann, 2015. "On the political economy of national tax revenue forecasts – Evidence from OECD countries," ifo Working Paper Series 198, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Jochimsen, Beate & Lehmann, Robert, 2017. "On the political economy of national tax revenue forecasts: evidence from OECD countries," Munich Reprints in Economics 55036, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
- Heinemann, Friedrich & Janeba, Eckhard & Todtenhaupt, Maximilian, 2022.
"Incumbency and expectations of fiscal rule compliance: Evidence from surveys of German policy makers,"
European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
- Heinemann, Friedrich & Janeba, Eckhard & Todtenhaupt, Maximilian, 2020. "Incumbency and expectations of fiscal rule compliance: Evidence from surveys of German policy makers," ZEW Discussion Papers 20-057, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
- Marcell Göttert & Robert Lehmann, 2021. "Tax Revenue Forecast Errors: Wrong Predictions of the Tax Base or the Elasticity?," CESifo Working Paper Series 9148, CESifo.
- Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens, 2014. "Passt die mittelfristige Steuerschätzung zur Finanzplanung der Länder?," Kiel Policy Brief 78, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Rossana Merola & Javier J. Pérez, 2012.
"Fiscal forecast errors: governments vs independent agencies?,"
Working Papers
1233, Banco de España.
- Javier J. Perez & Rossana Merola, 2012. "Fiscal forecast errors: governments vs independent agencies?," EcoMod2012 4694, EcoMod.
- Frank Bohn & Francisco José Veiga, 2019.
"Political Budget Forecast cycles,"
Economics Working Paper from Condorcet Center for political Economy at CREM-CNRS
2019-13-ccr, Condorcet Center for political Economy.
- Frank Bohn & Francisco José Veiga, 2019. "Political Budget Forecast Cycles," NIPE Working Papers 12/2019, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
- Breuer Christian, 2015.
"On the Rationality of Medium-Term Tax Revenue Forecasts: Evidence from Germany,"
Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 235(1), pages 22-40, February.
- Christian Breuer, 2014. "On the Rationality of Medium-Term Tax Revenue Forecasts: Evidence from Germany," ifo Working Paper Series 176, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Frank Bohn, 2019. "Political budget cycles, incumbency advantage, and propaganda," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(1), pages 43-70, March.
- Estrada, Fernando & Mutascu, Mihai & Tiwari, Aviral, 2011.
"Estabilidad política y tributación [Taxation and political stability],"
MPRA Paper
32414, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Fernando, Estrada & Mihai, Mutascu & Aviral Kumar, Tiwari, 2013. "Estabilidad política y tributación [Taxation and political stability]," MPRA Paper 45226, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Florian Chatagny & Nils Soguel, 2012.
"The effect of tax revenue budgeting errors on fiscal balance: evidence from the Swiss cantons,"
International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 19(3), pages 319-337, June.
- Florian Chatagny & Nils Soguel, 2012. "The effect of tax revenue budgeting errors on fiscal balance: evidence from the Swiss cantons," Post-Print halshs-00760272, HAL.
- Timo Wollmershäuser, 2017. "Die Konjunkturprognosen der Gemeinschaftsdiagnose und des Bundeswirtschaftsministeriums im Vergleich," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(03), pages 40-45, February.
- Ademmer Martin & Boysen-Hogrefe Jens, 2022.
"The Impact of Forecast Errors on Fiscal Planning and Debt Accumulation,"
Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 242(2), pages 171-190, April.
- Ademmer, Martin & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens, 2019. "The impact of forecast errors on fiscal planning and debt accumulation," Kiel Working Papers 2123, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Sanjeev Gupta & João T Jalles & Carlos Mulas-Granados & Michela Schena, 2018. "Planned fiscal adjustments: Do governments fulfil their commitments?," European Union Politics, , vol. 19(3), pages 383-407, September.
- Simon Luechinger & Christoph Schaltegger, 2013. "Fiscal rules, budget deficits and budget projections," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 20(5), pages 785-807, October.
- Bernardino Benito & María-Dolores Guillamón & Francisco Bastida, 2015. "Budget Forecast Deviations in Municipal Governments: Determinants and Implications," Australian Accounting Review, CPA Australia, vol. 25(1), pages 45-70, March.
- Beate Jochimsen & Robert Lehmann, 2017.
"On the political economy of national tax revenue forecasts: evidence from OECD countries,"
Public Choice, Springer, vol. 170(3), pages 211-230, March.
- Beate Jochimsen & Robert Lehmann, 2015. "On the political economy of national tax revenue forecasts – Evidence from OECD countries," ifo Working Paper Series 198, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Jochimsen, Beate Regina & Lehmann, Robert, 2015. "Do OECD countries cheat with their national tax revenue forecasts?," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 113089, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Bohn, Frank & Veiga, Francisco José, 2021. "Political forecast cycles," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
- Cronin, David & McInerney, Niall, 2023. "Official fiscal forecasts in EU member states under the European Semester and Fiscal Compact – An empirical assessment," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
- Lehmann Robert & Wollmershäuser Timo, 2020.
"The macroeconomic projections of the German government: A comparison to an independent forecasting institution,"
German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 21(2), pages 235-270, June.
- Robert Lehmann & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2019. "The Macroeconomic Projections of the German Government: A Comparison to an Independent Forecasting Institution," CESifo Working Paper Series 7460, CESifo.
- João Tovar Jalles, 2021. "Promised Fiscal Expansions and Politics: A European Union Assessment," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 63(1), pages 84-116, March.
- Mutascu, Mihai & Tiwari, Aviral & Estrada, Fernando, 2011.
"Taxation and political stability,"
MPRA Paper
36855, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Feb 2012.
- Mutascu, Mihai & Tiwari, Aviral & Estrada, Fernando, 2011. "Taxation and political stability," MPRA Paper 32272, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Björn Kauder & Niklas Potrafke & Fabian Ruthardt & Christoph Schinke, 2017. "Beschönigen Landesregierungen fiskalische Kennziffern?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(06), pages 36-40, March.
- Boukari, Mamadou & Veiga, Francisco José, 2018.
"Disentangling political and institutional determinants of budget forecast errors: A comparative approach,"
Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(4), pages 1030-1045.
- Mamadou Boukari & Francisco José Veiga, 2018. "Disentangling political and institutional determinants of budget forecast errors: A comparative approach," Post-Print hal-01817910, HAL.
- Estrada, Fernando, 2013. "Estabilidad política y poder fiscal [political stability and tax power]," MPRA Paper 58458, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2014.
- Jeffrey A. Frankel & Jesse Schreger, 2016.
"Bias in Official Fiscal Forecasts: Can Private Forecasts Help?,"
NBER Working Papers
22349, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Frankel, Jeffrey A. & Schreger, Jesse, 2016. "Bias in Official Fiscal Forecasts: Can Private Forecasts Help?," Working Paper Series 16-021, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government.
- Mancini, Anna Laura & Tommasino, Pietro, 2023.
"Fiscal rules and the reliability of public investment plans: Evidence from local governments,"
European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
- Anna Laura Mancini & Pietro Tommasino, 2022. "Fiscal rules and the reliability of public investment plans: evidence from local governments," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1360, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.