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If exchange rates are random walks then almost everything we say about monetary policy is wrong
Citations
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Cited by:
- Malika Hamadi & Andreas Heinen, 2011. "Ownership Structure and Firm Performance : Evidence from a non-parametric panel," DEM Discussion Paper Series 11-16, Department of Economics at the University of Luxembourg.
- Christopher J. Gust & J. David López-Salido, 2009. "Portfolio inertia and the equity premium," International Finance Discussion Papers 984, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Mikhail Golosov & David Evans & anmol bhandari, 2017. "Risk and Monetary Policy in a New Keynesian Model," 2017 Meeting Papers 1359, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Oleg Itskhoki & Dmitry Mukhin, 2019.
"Mussa Puzzle Redux,"
2019 Meeting Papers
1434, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Oleg Itskhoki & Dmitry Mukhin, 2021. "Mussa Puzzle Redux," NBER Working Papers 28950, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Itskhoki, Oleg & Mukhin, Dmitry, 2021. "Mussa Puzzle Redux," CEPR Discussion Papers 16301, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Stephanos Papadamou & Thomas Markopoulos, 2012. "The Monetary Approach to the Exchange Rate Determination for a “Petrocurrency”: The Case of Norwegian Krone," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 18(3), pages 299-314, August.
- Jung, Kuk Mo & Lee, Seungduck, 2015. "A Liquidity-Based Resolution of the Uncovered Interest Parity Puzzle," MPRA Paper 64164, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Seungduck Lee & Kuk Mo Jung, 2019. "A Liquidity-Based Resolution of the Uncovered Interest Parity Puzzle," Working Papers 1902, Nam Duck-Woo Economic Research Institute, Sogang University (Former Research Institute for Market Economy).
- Lars P. Feld & Ekkehard A. Köhler, 2015.
"Is Switzerland an Interest Rate Island after all? Time Series and Non-Linear Switching Regime Evidence,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
5628, CESifo.
- Feld, Lars P. & Köhler, Ekkehard A., 2015. "Is Switzerland an interest rate island after all? Time series and non-linear switching regime evidence," Freiburg Discussion Papers on Constitutional Economics 15/08, Walter Eucken Institut e.V..
- Seungduck Lee & Kuk Mo Jung, 2020. "A Liquidity‐Based Resolution of the Uncovered Interest Parity Puzzle," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 52(6), pages 1397-1433, September.
- Ana Santacreu & Ilian Mihov, 2013.
"Exchange rates as an instrument of monetary policy,"
2013 Meeting Papers
773, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Mihov, Ilian & Heipertz, Jonas & Santacreu, Ana, 2017. "The Exchange Rate as an Instrument of Monetary Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 12137, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Granger, Clive W.J., 2012. "Useful conclusions from surprising results," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 169(2), pages 142-146.
- Mr. Akito Matsumoto, 2011. "Global Liquidity: Availability of Funds for Safe and Risky Assets," IMF Working Papers 2011/136, International Monetary Fund.
- Marcus Hagedorn, 2007.
"Nominal and Real Interest Rates during an Optimal Disinflation in New Keynesian Models,"
IEW - Working Papers
352, Institute for Empirical Research in Economics - University of Zurich.
- Hagedorn, Marcus, 2008. "Nominal and real interest rates during an optimal disinflation in New Keynesian models," Working Paper Series 878, European Central Bank.
- Amat, Christophe & Michalski, Tomasz & Stoltz, Gilles, 2018.
"Fundamentals and exchange rate forecastability with simple machine learning methods,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 1-24.
- Christophe Amat & Tomasz Michalski & Gilles Stoltz, 2018. "Fundamentals and exchange rate forecastability with simple machine learning methods," Working Papers halshs-01003914, HAL.
- Mikhail Chernov & Drew Creal, 2023.
"International Yield Curves and Currency Puzzles,"
Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 78(1), pages 209-245, February.
- Mikhail Chernov & Drew D. Creal, 2018. "International Yield Curves and Currency Puzzles," NBER Working Papers 25206, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Chernov, Mikhail & Creal, Drew, 2022. "International yield curves and currency puzzles," CEPR Discussion Papers 13252, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Carlos Eduardo Castillo-Maldonado & Fidel Pérez-Macal, 2013.
"Assessment of models to forecast exchange rates: The quetzal–U.S. dollar exchange rate,"
Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 16, pages 71-99, May.
- Carlos Eduardo Castillo-Maldonado & Fidel Pérez-Macal, 2013. "Assessment of Models to Forecast Exchange Rates: The Quetzal-U.S. Dollar Exchange Rate," Journal of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(1), pages 71-99, May.
- Kuk Mo Jung, 2017.
"Liquidity Risk And Time-Varying Correlation Between Equity And Currency Returns,"
Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 55(2), pages 898-919, April.
- Jung, Kuk Mo, 2015. "Liquidity Risk and Time-Varying Correlation Between Equity and Currency Returns," MPRA Paper 67416, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Oleg Itskhoki & Dmitry Mukhin, 2021.
"Exchange Rate Disconnect in General Equilibrium,"
Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 129(8), pages 2183-2232.
- Oleg Itskhoki & Dmitry Mukhin, 2017. "Exchange Rate Disconnect in General Equilibrium," NBER Working Papers 23401, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Itskhoki, Oleg & Mukhin, Dmitry, 2021. "Exchange rate disconnect in general equilibrium," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 112140, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- A Craig Burnside & Jeremy J Graveline, 2020.
"On the Asset Market View of Exchange Rates,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 33(1), pages 239-260.
- A. Craig Burnside & Jeremy J. Graveline, 2012. "On the Asset Market View of Exchange Rates," NBER Working Papers 18646, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Pierlauro Lopez & David Lopez-Salido & Francisco Vazquez-Grande, 2018. "Risk-Adjusted Linearizations of Dynamic Equilibrium Models," Working papers 702, Banque de France.
- Jones, Callum & Kulish, Mariano, 2013.
"Long-term interest rates, risk premia and unconventional monetary policy,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(12), pages 2547-2561.
- Callum Jones & Mariano Kulish, 2011. "Long-term Interest Rates, Risk Premia and Unconventional Monetary Policy," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2011-02, Reserve Bank of Australia.
- Heipertz, Jonas & Mihov, Ilian & Santacreu, Ana Maria, 2022.
"Managing macroeconomic fluctuations with flexible exchange rate targeting,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
- Jonas Heipertz & Ilian Mihov & Ana Maria Santacreu, 2017. "Managing Macroeconomic Fluctuations with Flexible Exchange Rate Targeting," Working Papers 2017-028, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 16 Jan 2022.
- Stéphane Goutte & Benteng Zou, 2012. "Continuous time regime switching model applied to foreign exchange rate," Working Papers hal-00643900, HAL.
- Engel, Charles & Wu, Steve Pak Yeung, 2023.
"Forecasting the U.S. Dollar in the 21st Century,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
- Engel, Charles & Wu, Steve Pak Yeung, 2021. "Forecasting the U.S. Dollar in the 21st Century," CEPR Discussion Papers 15915, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Charles Engel & Steve Pak Yeung Wu, 2021. "Forecasting the U.S. Dollar in the 21st Century," NBER Working Papers 28447, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Ian Martin, 2011. "The Forward Premium Puzzle in a Two-Country World," NBER Working Papers 17564, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Chan R. Mang, 2014. "Uncertain Risk and Return in Bond Markets, I," 2014 Papers pma1706, Job Market Papers.
- Hyunjoo Ryou & Cristina Terra, 2015. "Exchange Rate Dynamics under Financial Market Frictions," THEMA Working Papers 2015-03, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise.
- Oleg Itskhoki, 2022. "The Research Agenda: Oleg Itskhoki on Exchange Rate Puzzles and Policies," EconomicDynamics Newsletter, Review of Economic Dynamics, vol. 23(2), November.
- Takashi Kano, 2021.
"Exchange Rates and Fundamentals: A General Equilibrium Exploration,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(1), pages 95-117, February.
- Kano, Takashi & 加納, 隆, 2019. "Exchange Rates and Fundamentals: A General Equilibrium Exploration," Discussion paper series HIAS-E-19, Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University.