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Asymptotic theory for the QMLE in GARCH-X models with stationary and non-stationary covariates
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- Holger Fink & Andreas Fuest & Henry Port, 2018. "The Impact of Sovereign Yield Curve Differentials on Value-at-Risk Forecasts for Foreign Exchange Rates," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-19, August.
- Ming Chen & Qiongxia Song, 2016. "Semi-parametric estimation and forecasting for exogenous log-GARCH models," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 25(1), pages 93-112, March.
- Amendola, A. & Candila, V. & Cipollini, F. & Gallo, G.M., 2024.
"Doubly multiplicative error models with long- and short-run components,"
Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
- Alessandra Amendola & Vincenzo Candila & Fabrizio Cipollini & Giampiero M. Gallo, 2020. "Doubly Multiplicative Error Models with Long- and Short-run Components," Papers 2006.03458, arXiv.org.
- Francq, Christian & Sucarrat, Genaro, 2017.
"An equation-by-equation estimator of a multivariate log-GARCH-X model of financial returns,"
Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 153(C), pages 16-32.
- Francq, Christian & Sucarrat, Genaro, 2015. "Equation-by-Equation Estimation of a Multivariate Log-GARCH-X Model of Financial Returns," MPRA Paper 67140, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Giovanni Angelini & Luca De Angelis, 2017.
"PARX model for football match predictions,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(7), pages 795-807, November.
- Giovanni Angelini & Luca De Angelis, 2016. "PARX model for football matches predictions," Quaderni di Dipartimento 2, Department of Statistics, University of Bologna.
- Thieu, Le Quyen, 2016. "Variance targeting estimation of the BEKK-X model," MPRA Paper 75572, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Dennis Kristensen & Young Jun Lee, 2019. "Local Polynomial Estimation of Time-Varying Parameters in Nonlinear Models," Papers 1904.05209, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2023.
- Stavroula Yfanti & Georgios Chortareas & Menelaos Karanasos & Emmanouil Noikokyris, 2022. "A three‐dimensional asymmetric power HEAVY model," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(3), pages 2737-2761, July.
- Christian Francq & Genaro Sucarrat, 2018.
"An Exponential Chi-Squared QMLE for Log-GARCH Models Via the ARMA Representation,"
Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 16(1), pages 129-154.
- Francq, Christian & Sucarrat, Genaro, 2013. "An Exponential Chi-Squared QMLE for Log-GARCH Models Via the ARMA Representation," MPRA Paper 51783, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Pedersen, Rasmus Søndergaard & Rahbek, Anders, 2019.
"Testing Garch-X Type Models,"
Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 35(5), pages 1012-1047, October.
- Rasmus Soendergaard Pedersen & Anders Rahbek, 2017. "Testing Garch-X Type Models," Discussion Papers 17-15, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics.
- Dag Tjøstheim, 2012. "Rejoinder on: Some recent theory for autoregressive count time series," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 21(3), pages 469-476, September.
- Matthieu Garcin & Clément Goulet, 2015. "Non-parameteric news impact curve: a variational approach," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 15086rr, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, revised Feb 2017.
- Heino Bohn Nielsen & Anders Rahbek, 2023. "Penalized Quasi-likelihood Estimation and Model Selection in Time Series Models with Parameters on the Boundary," Papers 2302.02867, arXiv.org.
- Agosto, Arianna & Cavaliere, Giuseppe & Kristensen, Dennis & Rahbek, Anders, 2016.
"Modeling corporate defaults: Poisson autoregressions with exogenous covariates (PARX),"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(PB), pages 640-663.
- Arianna Agosto & Giuseppe Cavaliere & Dennis Kristensen & Anders Rahbek, 2015. "Modeling corporate defaults: Poisson autoregressions with exogenous covariates (PARX)," CREATES Research Papers 2015-11, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Yong Ma & Lu Yan & Dongtao Pan, 2024. "The power of news data in forecasting tail risk: evidence from China," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 67(6), pages 2607-2642, December.
- Lorenzo Carbonari & Alessio Farcomeni & Cosimo Petracchi & Giovanni Trovato, 2024. "Macroprudential Policies and Credit Volatility," Working Paper series 24-16, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Sucarrat, Genaro & Grønneberg, Steffen, 2016. "Models of Financial Return With Time-Varying Zero Probability," MPRA Paper 68931, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Christian Conrad & Melanie Schienle, 2020.
"Testing for an Omitted Multiplicative Long-Term Component in GARCH Models,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(2), pages 229-242, April.
- Conrad, Christian & Schienle, Melanie, 2019. "Testing for an omitted multiplicative long-term component in GARCH models," Working Paper Series in Economics 121, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Department of Economics and Management.
- Byun, Sung Je, 2016. "The usefulness of cross-sectional dispersion for forecasting aggregate stock price volatility," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 162-180.
- Huang, Zhuo & Liu, Hao & Wang, Tianyi, 2016. "Modeling long memory volatility using realized measures of volatility: A realized HAR GARCH model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 812-821.
- James, Robert & Leung, Henry & Leung, Jessica Wai Yin & Prokhorov, Artem, 2023. "Forecasting tail risk measures for financial time series: An extreme value approach with covariates," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 29-50.
- Jian Kang & Johan Stax Jakobsen & Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Teräsvirta & Glen Wade, 2022.
"A Parsimonious Test of Constancy of a Positive Definite Correlation Matrix in a Multivariate Time-Varying GARCH Model,"
Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-41, August.
- Jian Kang & Johan Stax Jakobsen & Annastiina Silvennoinen & Timo Teräsvirta & Glen Wade, 2022. "A parsimonious test of constancy of a positive definite correlation matrix in a multivariate time-varying GARCH model," CREATES Research Papers 2022-01, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Heejoon Han & Myung D. Park & Shen Zhang, 2015. "A Multiplicative Error Model with Heterogeneous Components for Forecasting Realized Volatility," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(3), pages 209-219, April.
- Conrad, Christian & Schienle, Melanie, 2015. "Misspecification Testing in GARCH-MIDAS Models," Working Papers 0597, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.
- Mengya Liu & Qi Li & Fukang Zhu, 2020. "Self-excited hysteretic negative binomial autoregression," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 104(3), pages 385-415, September.
- M. Karanasos & S. Yfanti & J. Hunter, 2022. "Emerging stock market volatility and economic fundamentals: the importance of US uncertainty spillovers, financial and health crises," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(2), pages 1077-1116, June.
- Asai, Manabu, 2023. "Feasible Panel GARCH Models: Variance-Targeting Estimation and Empirical Application," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 23-38.
- Heejoon Han, 2016. "Quantile Dependence between Stock Markets and its Application in Volatility Forecasting," Papers 1608.07193, arXiv.org.
- Abdul-Nasir T. Yola, 2019. "On the Reaction of Stock Market to Monetary Policy Innovations: New Evidence from Nigeria," Academic Journal of Economic Studies, Faculty of Finance, Banking and Accountancy Bucharest,"Dimitrie Cantemir" Christian University Bucharest, vol. 5(2), pages 94-98, June.
- Amendola, Alessandra & Candila, Vincenzo & Gallo, Giampiero M., 2021. "Choosing the frequency of volatility components within the Double Asymmetric GARCH–MIDAS–X model," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 12-28.
- Caiya Zhang & Kaihong Xu & Lianfen Qian, 2020. "Asymptotic properties of the QMLE in a log-linear RealGARCH model with Gaussian errors," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 61(6), pages 2313-2330, December.
- Ekaterina Smetanina & Wei Biao Wu, 2021. "Asymptotic theory for QMLE for the real‐time GARCH(1,1) model," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(5-6), pages 752-776, September.
- Francq, Christian & Thieu, Le Quyen, 2019.
"Qml Inference For Volatility Models With Covariates,"
Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 35(1), pages 37-72, February.
- Francq, Christian & Thieu, Le Quyen, 2015. "Qml inference for volatility models with covariates," MPRA Paper 63198, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Aknouche, Abdelhakim & Dimitrakopoulos, Stefanos, 2021. "Autoregressive conditional proportion: A multiplicative-error model for (0,1)-valued time series," MPRA Paper 110954, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 06 Dec 2021.
- Julien Chevallier & Bilel Sanhaji, 2023.
"Jump-Robust Realized-GARCH-MIDAS-X Estimators for Bitcoin and Ethereum Volatility Indices,"
Stats, MDPI, vol. 6(4), pages 1-32, December.
- Julien Chevallier & Bilel Sanhaji, 2023. "Jump-Robust Realized-GARCH-MIDAS-X Estimators for Bitcoin and Ethereum Volatility Indices," Post-Print halshs-04344131, HAL.
- Niklas Ahlgren & Alexander Back & Timo Terasvirta, 2024. "A new GARCH model with a deterministic time-varying intercept," Papers 2410.03239, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2024.
- M. Karanasos & S. Yfanti & A. Christopoulos, 2021. "The long memory HEAVY process: modeling and forecasting financial volatility," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 306(1), pages 111-130, November.
- Clements, A.E. & Hurn, A.S. & Volkov, V.V., 2015. "Volatility transmission in global financial markets," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 3-18.
- Matthieu Garcin & Clément Goulet, 2015. "Non-parameteric news impact curve: a variational approach," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 15086r, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, revised Jul 2016.
- Aleksander Schiffers & Marcin Chlebus, 2021. "The effectiveness of Value-at-Risk models in various volatility regimes," Working Papers 2021-28, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
- Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Menelaos Karanasos & Stavroula Yfanti, 2019. "Macro-Financial Linkages in the High-Frequency Domain: The Effects of Uncertainty on Realized Volatility," CESifo Working Paper Series 8000, CESifo.
- Han, Heejoon & Park, Joon Y., 2014. "GARCH with omitted persistent covariate," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 124(2), pages 248-254.
- Huaping Chen & Qi Li & Fukang Zhu, 2022. "A new class of integer-valued GARCH models for time series of bounded counts with extra-binomial variation," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 106(2), pages 243-270, June.
- Becker, Janis & Leschinski, Christian, 2018. "The Bias of Realized Volatility," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-642, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
- Thieu, Le Quyen, 2016. "Equation by equation estimation of the semi-diagonal BEKK model with covariates," MPRA Paper 75582, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ulm, M. & Hambuckers, J., 2022. "Do interest rate differentials drive the volatility of exchange rates? Evidence from an extended stochastic volatility model," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 125-148.
- Hoga, Yannick, 2021. "The uncertainty in extreme risk forecasts from covariate-augmented volatility models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 675-686.