International Journal of Forecasting

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1996, Volume 12, Issue 2

• 317-318 The validity of employment interviews: A comprehensive review and meta-analysis : Michael A. McDaniel, D.L. Whetzel, F.L. Schmidt and S.D. Maurer, 994, Journal of Applied Psychology, 79, 599-615
  by Armstrong, J. Scott [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 318-319 Validity of an honeesty test in predicting theft among convenience store employees : H. John Bernardin and D.K. Cooke, 1993 Academy of Management Journal, 36, 1097-1108
  by Armstrong, J. Scott [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 319-321 Heuristics, biases and improvement strategies in judgmental time series : P. Goodwin and G. Wright, 1994, Omega, 22, 553-568
  by Armstrong, J. Scott [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 321-322 Factors affecting new product forecasting accuracy in new firms : William B. Gartner, and Robert J. Thomas, 1993, Journal of Productive Innovation Management, 10, 35-52
  by Armstrong, J. Scott [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 322-323 Predicting insurance agent turnover using a video-based judgement test : Anthony T. Dalessio, 1994, Journal of Business an Psychology, 9, 23-32
  by Armstrong, J. Scott [Downloadable! (restricted)]

• 1-8 The role and validity of judgment in forecasting
  by Wright, George & Lawrence, Michael J. & Collopy, Fred [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 9-24 Effects of task format on probabilistic forecasting of stock prices
  by Onkal, Dilek & Muradoglu, Gulnur [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 25-40 An application of probability judgement accuracy measures to currency forecasting
  by Wilkie, Mary E. & Pollock, Andrew C. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 41-56 Good probabilistic forecasters: The 'consumer's' perspective
  by Yates, J. Frank & Price, Paul C. & Lee, Ju-Whei & Ramirez, James [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 57-71 Hailfinder: A Bayesian system for forecasting severe weather
  by Abramson, Bruce & Brown, John & Edwards, Ward & Murphy, Allan & Winkler, Robert L. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 73-89 The impact of task characteristics on the performance of structured group forecasting techniques
  by Rowe, Gene & Wright, George [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 91-118 Judgemental and statistical time series forecasting: a review of the literature
  by Webby, Richard & O'Connor, Marcus [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 119-137 Graphs versus tables: Effects of data presentation format on judgemental forecasting
  by Harvey, Nigel & Bolger, Fergus [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 139-153 Judgmental forecasting with time series and causal information
  by Lim, Joa Sang & O'Connor, Marcus [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 155-161 Remarks on the application of the analytic hierarchy process to judgmental forecasting
  by Belton, Valerie & Goodwin, Paul [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 163-170 Adjustment of forecasts with model consistent expectations
  by Bunn, Derek W. & Salo, Ahti A. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 175-176 Outliers in statistical data : V. Barnett and T. Lewis, 1994, 3rd edition, (John Wiley & Sons, Chichester), 584 pp., [UK pound]55.00, ISBN 0-471-93094-6
  by Ord, Keith [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 176-177 Forecasting profit : M. Metcalf, 1995, (Kluwer Academic Publishers, Boston), US$110, ISBN 0-7923-9482-8
  by Brown, Lawrence D. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 177-179 Is the economic cycle still alive? : Mario Baldassarri and Paolo Annunziato, eds., 1994, (St. Martin, New York), US$79.95, ISBN 0-312-10380-8
  by Klein, Philip A. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 179-180 Forecasting and market analysis techniques -- A practical approach : George J. Kress and John Snyder, 1994, (Quorum Books, Westport, CT), US$65.00, ISBN 0-59930-835-X
  by de Kluyver, Cornelis A. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 180-181 The distortion theory of macro-economic forecasting : Steven Marquard, 1994, (Quorum Books, Westport, CT), US$59.95, ISBN 0-89930-910-0
  by Crawford, Peggy [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 181-182 Futurehype: The tyranny of prophecy : Max Dublin, 1991, (Dutton Books, New York), 304pp., ISBN 0452-26800-1, US$12.00
  by Glenn, Jerome C. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 183-184 Journal of economic literature : Clifford Winston, 1993, Economic deregulation: Days of reckoning for microeconomists, 31, 1263-1289
  by Armstrong, J. Scott [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 184-185 Journal of behavioral decision making : J.S. Lim and M. O'Connor, 1995, Judgemental adjustment of initial forecasts: its effectiveness and biases, 8, 149-168
  by Goodwin, Paul [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 185-186 Journal of business forecasting : John Hanke and Pam Weigand, 1994, What are business schools doing to educate forecasters, Fall, 10-12
  by Armstrong, J. Scott [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 186-187 Journal of computing in civil engineering : Paul Teicholz, 1993, Forecasting final cost and budget of construction projects, 7, 511-529
  by Collopy, Fred [Downloadable! (restricted)]

• 501-502 Positive or negative?
  by Chatfield, Chris [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 503-538 Forecasting earthquakes and earthquake risk
  by Vere-Jones, David [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 539-541 Evaluation of probability forecasts of events
  by Ogata, Yosihiko [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 543-555 Forecasting ultimate resource recovery
  by Pesaran, M. Hashem & Samiei, Hossein [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 557-567 Multiple cointegrating vectors, error correction, and forecasting with Litterman's model
  by Shoesmith, Gary L. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 569-583 Forecasting with vector autoregressive (VAR) models subject to business cycle restrictions
  by Simkins, Scott [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 585-590 Professor Clive W.J. Granger: An interview for the International Journal of Forecasting
  by Terasvirta, Timo [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 591-597 Beyond accuracy: Comparison of criteria used to select forecasting methods
  by Yokuma, J. Thomas & Armstrong, J. Scott [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 599-601 Non-linear dynamics chaos and econometrics : M Hashem Pesaran and Simon M Potter, (Wiley, Chichester), 244 pp., hardback, $39.95, ISBN 04719 39420
  by Adcock, Chris [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 601-602 Neural network time series forecasting of financial markets : E Michael Azoff, (John Wiley, Chichester) hardback, 194 pp., [UK pound]34.95, ISBN 0471 943568
  by Meade, Nigel [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 602-603 Neural networks in the capital markets : Apostos-Paul Refenes, Editor, (John Wiley, Chichester) hardback, 392 pp., [UK pound]34.95, $55.95, ISBN 0471 943649
  by Meade, Nigel [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 603-604 Neural networks in the capital markets : Apostos-Paul Refenes, ed., 1995, (Wiley, Chichester), 376 pp., US$55.00, ISBN 0-471-94364-9
  by Trippi, Robert R. [Downloadable! (restricted)]

• 361-377 Aggregate and disaggregate sector forecasting using consumer confidence measures
  by Kumar, V. & Leone, Robert P. & Gaskins, John N. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 379-393 The relationship between manufacturing production and different business survey series in Sweden 1968-;1992
  by Bergstrom, Reinhold [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 395-405 Forecasting the final vintage of real personal disposable income: A state space approach
  by Patterson, K. D. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 407-416 On the optimality of adaptive expectations: Muth revisited
  by Satchell, Steve & Timmermann, Allan [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 417-427 Accuracy and rationality of state General Fund Revenue forecasts: Evidence from panel data
  by Mocan, H. Naci & Azad, Sam [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 429-445 Analysts' use of earnings forecasts in predicting stock returns: Forecast horizon effects
  by Bandyopadhyay, Sati P. & Brown, Lawrence D. & Richardson, Gordon D. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 447-475 Forecasting tourism demand: A review of empirical research
  by Witt, Stephen F. & Witt, Christine A. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 477-490 A bayesian analysis of the use of pooled coefficients in a structural regional economic model
  by Rickman, Dan S. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 491-492 Dynamical systems: An introduction with applications in economics and biology, second edition : Pierre D.V. Tu, 1994, Springer, Berlin, xviii + 314 pp., Softcover DM 65.00, ISBN 3 540 57661 4
  by Ray, W. D. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 492-493 Kiplinger's looking ahead: 70 years of forecasts from the Kiplinger Washington letter : 1993, (Kiplinger Books, Washington, DC) $29.95, ISBN 0-938721-31-3
  by Stekler, H. O. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 493-494 Forecasting technological innovation : B. Henry, Editor, 1991, (Kluwer, Dordrecht)
  by Porter, Alan L. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 494-495 Time series analysis : James D. Hamilton, 1994, (Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ), 799 pp., US $55.00, ISBN 0-691-04289-6
  by Marquez, Jamie [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 497-499 Software review
  by Koehler, Anne & Noble, Nicholas R. [Downloadable! (restricted)]

• 197-198 The future of the International Journal of Forecasting
  by Ord, Keith [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 199-215 Forecasting with growth curves: An empirical comparison
  by Meade, Nigel & Islam, Towhidul [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 217-231 Forecasting consumption, income and real interest rates from alternative state space models
  by Vinod, H. D. & Basu, Parantap [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 233-251 An analysis of the international tourism demand in Spain
  by Gonzalez, Pilar & Moral, Paz [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 253-262 The expectations theory of interest rates: Cointegration and factor decomposition
  by Choi, Seungmook & Wohar, Mark E. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 263-270 Prediction and control for a time-series count data model
  by Brannas, Kurt [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 271-283 Estimation of the variances of X-11 ARIMA seasonally adjusted estimators for a multiplicative decomposition and heteroscedastic variances
  by Pfeffermann, Danny & Morry, Marietta & Wong, Paul [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 285-293 Does reliable information improve the accuracy of judgmental forecasts?
  by Remus, William & O'Connor, Marcus & Griggs, Kenneth [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 295-305 Judgmental and statistical methods of peak electric load management
  by Anderson, Elizabeth A. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 307-319 Effects of feedback on probabilistic forecasts of stock prices
  by Onkal, Dilek & Muradoglu, Gulnur [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 321-329 The measurement of price elasticities--the BT experience
  by Cracknell, David & Knott, Michael [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 331-333 Learning and practicing econometrics : W.E. Griffiths, R.C. Hill and G.G. Judge, (Wiley, New York) 1993
  by Phillips, Robert F. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 333-334 Population growth, income distribution and economic development (Theory, methodology, and empirical results) : Nico Heerink, 1994, (Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg), 401 pp., DM 168, ISBN 3-540-57323-2 (Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg), 401 pp., DM 168, ISBN 3-540-57323-2
  by Ioannides, Chris [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 334-335 Macroeconomic modelling vols I and II : Kenneth F. Wallis, Editor, 1944, (Edward Elgar, Aldershot), Vol. I: 460 pp., Vol. II: 475 PP., [UK pound]175.00, ISBN 1-85278-664-7
  by Holden, Ken [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 337-351 Student editions of forecasting software: A survey
  by Rycroft, Robert S. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 353-354 Journal of the American Statistical Association : Carlo Grillenzoni, 1994, Optimal recursive estimation of dynamic models, 89, 777-787
  by Koehler, Anne B. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 354-355 Journal of economic psychology : Fred D. Davis, Gerald L. Loshe, and Jeffrey E. Kottemann, 1944, Harmful effects of seemingly helpful information on forecasts of stock earnings
  by Collopy, Fred [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 355-355 Information systems research : Gurbaxani, V. and H. Mendelson, 1990, An integrative model of information systems spending growth, 1, 23-46
  by Meade, Nigel [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 355-358 Information systems research : Gurbaxani, V. and H. Mendelson, 1994, Modeling vs. forecasting: the case of information systems spending, 5, 180-190
  by Mead, Nigel & Gurbaxani, V. & Mendelson, H. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 337-337 Software review
  by Koehler, Anne [Downloadable! (restricted)]

• 1-4 Probability forecasting
  by Abramson, Bruce & Clemen, Robert [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 5-24 The use of probability elicitation in the high-level nuclear waste regulation program
  by Dewispelare, Aaron R. & Herren, L. Tandy & Clemen, Robert T. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 25-41 A Bayesian method for analyzing dependencies in precursor data
  by Bier, Vicki M. & Yi, Woojune [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 43-61 A Bayesian technique for refining the uncertainty in global energy model forecasts
  by Tschang, F. Ted & Dowlatabadi, Hadi [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 63-72 Probabilistic forecasts from probabilistic models: A case study in the oil market
  by Abramson, Bruce & Finizza, Anthony [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 73-87 Uncertain reasoning and forecasting
  by Dagum, P. & Galper, A. & Horvitz, E. & Seiver, A. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 89-111 dHugin: a computational system for dynamic time-sliced Bayesian networks
  by Kjaerulff, Uffe [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 113-131 SEARCH (Scenario evaluation and analysis through repeated cross impact handling): a new method for scenario analysis with an application to the Videotel service in Italy
  by Sapio, Bartolomeo [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 133-145 Screening probability forecasts: contrasts between choosing and combining
  by Clemen, Robert T. & Murphy, Allan H. & Winkler, Robert L. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 147-157 Comparing probability forecasts derived from theoretical distributions
  by Allen, P. Geoffrey & Morzuch, Bernard J. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 159-174 Road closure to mitigate avalanche danger: a case study for Little Cottonwood Canyon
  by Blattenberger, Gail & Fowles, Richard [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 175-187 Software review
  by Weller, Barry R. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 189-191 Handbook of statistics, volume 11, econometrics : G.S. Maddala, C.R. Rao and H.D. Vinod, eds., 1993, (North Holland, Amsterdam), 800 pp., US$180.00 Df340.00, ISBN 0-444-89577-9
  by Gill, Len [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 191-192 Forecasting financial and economic cycles : Michael P. Niemira and Philip A Klein, 1994, (John Wiley and Sons Inc, New York), 500 pp. [UK pound]39.95, ISBN 0471845442
  by Mullineux, Andy W. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 192-193 Business forecasting and planning : Peter Shearer, 1994, (Prentice Hall, Hemel Hempstead, UK), 183 pp., paperback, [UK pound]16.95, ISBN 0-13-094962-0
  by Raeside, Robert [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 195-196 Oliver Duncan Anderson: 1940-1995
  by De Gooijer, Jan G. [Downloadable! (restricted)]

• 491-494 A world-wide information system for forecasters
  by Collopy, Fred [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 495-506 Judgmental decomposition: when does it work?
  by MacGregor, Donald G. & Armstrong, J. Scott [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 507-514 Forecasting costs incurred from unit differencing fractionally integrated processes
  by Smith, Jeremy & Yadav, Sanjay [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 515-527 Restricted forecasts using exponential smoothing techniques
  by Rosas, A. Lorena & Guerrero, Victor M. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 529-538 Forecasting intermittent demand in manufacturing: a comparative evaluation of Croston's method
  by Willemain, Thomas R. & Smart, Charles N. & Shockor, Joseph H. & DeSautels, Philip A. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 539-547 Forecasting in least absolute value regression with autocorrelated errors: a small-sample study
  by Dielman, Terry E. & Rose, Elizabeth L. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 549-555 Prediction with a linear regression model and errors in a regressor
  by Jonsson, Bo [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 557-571 Forecasts for the Australian economy using the MONASH model
  by Adams, Philip D. & Dixon, Peter B. & McDonald, Daina & Meagher, G. A. & Parmenter, Brian R. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 573-581 Adventures with ARIMA software
  by Newbold, Paul & Agiakloglou, Christos & Miller, John [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 583-596 Electronics industry model: a report on two decades of implementation
  by Webb, G. Kent [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 597-599 Economic forecasting in agriculture: Comment
  by Chen, Dean T. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 601-602 Economic forecasting in agriculture: Reply
  by Alien, P. Geoffrey [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 609-609 Introduction
  by Fildes, Robert & Stekler, Herman [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 643-645 Marketing : J. Eliashberg and G.L. Lilien, eds., 1993, (North-Holland, Amsterdam, The Netherlands), 920 pp., hardback $165.00/Dfl.310.00, ISBN 0-444-88957-4
  by Mercer, Alan [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 645-646 The rise and fall of strategic planning : Henry Mintzberg, 1994, (Prentice Hall, Englewood Cliffs, NJ, USA), 458 pp., [UK pound]19.95 ISBN 0137818246
  by Lawrence, Michael [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 647-647 Marketing letters : Barry L., Bayus, (1992), Have diffusion rates been accelerating over time? 3 215-226
  by Armstrong, J. Scott [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 649-649 Journal of Business and Economic Statistics: Rick L. Andrews, 1994, Forecasting performance of structural time series models, 12, 129-133
  by Fildes, Robert [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 650-650 Applied Statistics: L.S.-Y. Wu, J.R.M. Hosking and N. Ravishankar, 1993, Reallocation outliers in time series, 42, 301-313
  by Fildes, Robert [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 647-649 Omega 21: G.L. Riddington, (1993), Time varying coefficient models and their forecasting performance, 573-583
  by Armstrong, J. Scott [Downloadable! (restricted)]

• 387-403 What forecasts (seem to) mean
  by Fischhoff, Baruch [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 405-417 Using economic indicators to reduce risk in stock market investments
  by Moore, Geoffrey H. & Boehm, Ernst A. & Banerji, Anirvan [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 419-433 The performance of alternative VAR models in forecasting exchange rates
  by Liu, Te-Ru & Gerlow, Mary E. & Irwin, Scott H. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 435-443 The rationality of the OECD foreign-balance forecasts for the USA
  by Antzoulatos, Angelos A. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 445-453 Recursive estimation as an aid to exploratory data analysis: an application to market share models
  by Jex, Colin F. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 455-460 Late forecasts and early revisions of United States GNP
  by Brodsky, Noel & Newbold, Paul [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 463-463 Elements of multivariate time series : Gregory C. Reinsel, 1993, Springer Series in Statistics, (Springer-Verlag, New York), 263 pp. US 49.00. ISBN 0-387-94063-4
  by Ord, J. Keith [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 466-469 Modelling reality and personal modelling : Richard Flavell, (ed.), 1993, Contributions to Management Science, (Physica-Verlag, Heidelberg), 407 pp., paperback, DM120, ISBN 3-7908-0682-X
  by Adcock, Chris [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 471-472 Forecasting practices in US corporations: Survey results : Nada Sanders and Karl B. Manrodt, 1994, interfaces, 24, 92-100
  by Armstrong, J. Scott [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 473-474 An analysis of the accuracy ot "trial heat" polls during the 1992 presidential election : Richard R. Lau, 1994, Public opinion quarterly, 58, 2-20
  by Scott Armstrong, J. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 474-475 Forecasting final cost and budget of construction projects: Paul Teicholz, Journal of computing in civil engineering, 7 (1993), 511-529
  by Collopy, Fred [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 475-475 Dating turning points in the business cycle: Michael D. Boldin, Journal of business, 67, 97-131
  by Stekler, H. O. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 463-466 Time series prediction: Forecasting the future and understanding the past : Andreas S. Weigend and Neil A. Gershenfeld, eds., 1993, (Addison-Wesley Publishing Company, Reading, MA, USA), 643 pp., paperback $49.50, ISBN 0-201-62
  by Makridakis, Spyros [Downloadable! (restricted)]

• 181-189 Forecasting market response
  by Parsons, Leonard J. & Schultz, Randall L. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 191-207 A nearest neighbor model for forecasting market response
  by Mulhern, Francis J. & Caprara, Robert J. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 209-233 Bayesian forecasts in markets with overlapping structures
  by Queen, Catriona M. & Smith, Jim Q. & James, David M. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 235-244 Comparing the predictive performance of a neural network model with some traditional market response models
  by Dasgupta, Chanda Ghose & Dispensa, Gary S. & Ghose, Sanjoy [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 245-261 A comparison and an exploration of the forecasting accuracy of a loglinear model at different levels of aggregation
  by Foekens, Eijte W. & Leeflang, Peter S. H. & Wittink, Dick R. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 263-276 Forecasting market shares with disaggregate or pooled data: a comparison of attraction models
  by Chen, Youhua & Kanetkar, Vinay & Weiss, Doyle L. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 277-285 Conditions when market share models are useful for forecasting: further empirical results
  by Brodie, Roderick J. & Bonfrer, Andre [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 287-294 Comparing naive with econometric market share models when competitors' actions are forecast
  by Danaher, Peter J. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 295-312 Forecasting performance of market share models: an assessment, additional insights, and guidelines
  by Kumar, V. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 313-326 Market expansion, cannibalization, and international airline pricing strategy
  by Carpenter, Gregory S. & Hanssens, Dominique M. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 327-337 Predicting advertising expenditures using intention surveys
  by Jan Alsem, Karel & Leeflang, Peter S. H. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 339-352 Strategic marketing forecasting, market segment selection and firm performance
  by Capon, Noel & Palij, Peter [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 353-380 Aggregate diffusion forecasting models in marketing: A critical review
  by Parker, Philip M. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 381-382 Elements of multivariate time series analysis : Gregory C. Reinsel, 1993, (Springer-Verlag, New York), xiv + 263 pp., DM 88 hardback, ISBN 0-387-94063-4
  by Chatfield, Chris [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 382-385 Leading economic indicators: New approaches and forecasting record : Review of Lahiri K. and G. Moore (eds.), 1991, (Cambridge University press, Cambridge)
  by Nazmi, Nader [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 385-386 Business cycles, indicators, and forecasting : James H. Stock and Mark W. Watson, (eds.), 1994, National Bureau of Economic Research, studies in business cycles, vol. 28, (University of Chicago pres
  by Stekler, H. O. [Downloadable! (restricted)]

• 1-4 Editorial: Research prospective on neural network forecasting
  by Gorr, Wilpen L. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 5-15 Artificial neural network models for forecasting and decision making
  by Hill, Tim & Marquez, Leorey & O'Connor, Marcus & Remus, William [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 17-34 Comparative study of artificial neural network and statistical models for predicting student grade point averages
  by Gorr, Wilpen L. & Nagin, Daniel & Szczypula, Janusz [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 35-41 Review of '4thought'
  by Harvey, Andrew & Toulson, Sabine [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 43-46 Comments on 'neural networks: Forecasting breakthrough or passing fad' by C. Chatfield
  by Refenes, A. N. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 47-57 The combination of forecasts using changing weights
  by Deutsch, Melinda & Granger, Clive W. J. & Terasvirta, Timo [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 59-64 The approximation of the one-step ahead forecast error covariance for vector ARMA models
  by Hung, Ken & Alt, Frank B. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 65-80 Evaluating forecasting models of farmland prices
  by Tegene, Abebayehu & Kuchler, Fred [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 81-135 Economic forecasting in agriculture
  by Allen, P. Geoffrey [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 137-138 Economic forecasting in agriculture: Discussion
  by Bessler, David A. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 139-142 The agricultural commodity market forecasting game
  by Freebairn, John [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 143-145 Economic forecasting in agriculture: Comment
  by Tomek, William G. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 147-149 The fertile field of meta-analysis: Cumulative progress in agricultural forecasting
  by Armstrong, J. Scott [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 151-159 The past and the future of forecasting research
  by Dawes, Robyn & Fildes, Robert & Lawrence, Michael & Ord, Keith [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 161-163 Time series prediction: Forecasting the future and understanding the past : Neil A. Gershenfeld and Andreas S. Weigend, 1994, 'The future of time series', in: A.S. Weigend and N.A. Gershenfeld, eds., (Addison-Wesley, Reading, MA), 1-70
  by Chatfield, Chris & Weigend, Andreas S. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 163-164 Journal of econometrics : Chung-ki Min and Arnold Zellner, 1993, "Bayesian and non-Bayesian methods for combining models and forecasts with applications to forecasting international growth rates"
  by Fildes, Robert [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 165-166 The econometric modelling of financial time series : Terence C. Mills, 1993, (Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK), 247 pp., hardback. [UK pound]35.00, ISBN 0-521-41048-7
  by Meade, Nigel [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 166-166 ARMA model identification : Byoung Choi, 1992, (Springer-Verlag Berlin), 200 pp., DM 81.00, ISBN 3-540-97795-3
  by Ray, W. D. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 168-169 Forecasting the health of elderly populations : Kenneth G. Manton, Burton H. Singer, Richard M. Suzman (editors), 1993, (Springer-Verlag, New York), 371 pp., $59.00, ISBN 0-387-97953-0
  by Bailey, R. Clifton [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 169-171 Modelling nonlinear economic relationships : C.W.J. Granger and T. Terasvirta, 1993, (Oxford University Press, New York,) 187 pp., hardback $30, ISBN 0-19-877319-6; paperback $14.95, ISBN 0-19-877320-X
  by Oller, Lars-Erik [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 171-172 Developments in time series analysis : T. Subba Rao, ed., 1993, (Chapman & Hall, London, UK), 433 pp., hardback [UK pound]49.95, ISBN 0-412-49260-1
  by Chatfield, Chris [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 166-167 Inflation and disinflation: The Israeli experiment : Leonardo Leiderman, 1993, (Chicago University Press, Chicago, IL). 348 pp., [UK pound]39.25, US $56.25
  by Matthews, Kent [Downloadable! (restricted)]

• 437-455 Dynamic structural analysis and forecasting of residential electricity consumption
  by Harris, John L. & Liu, Lon-Mu [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 457-465 The demand for gasoline: a two stage approach
  by Elkhafif, M. A. & Kubursi, A. A. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 467-476 Periodic integration in quarterly UK macroeconomic variables
  by Hans Franses, Philip & Romijn, Gerbert [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 477-485 Combining historical and preliminary information to obtain timely time series data
  by Guerrero, Victor M. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 487-508 Rounding errors in autoregressive processes
  by Stam, Antonie & Cogger, Kenneth O. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 509-515 Seasonal exponential smoothing with damped trends : An application for production planning
  by Miller, Tan & Liberatore, Matthew [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 517-526 Using group seasonal indices in multi-item short-term forecasting
  by Bunn, Derek W. & Vassilopoulos, A. I. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 527-529 Accuracy measures: theoretical and practical concerns
  by Makridakis, Spyros [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 531-575 Microcomputer software of interest to forecasters in comparative review: An update
  by Rycroft, Robert S. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 577-578 Introduction to multiple time series : H. Lutkepohl, 1991, (Springer, New York), 552 pp., paperback US$59.00, ISBN 0-387-53194-7
  by Karlsson, Sune [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 578-579 Konjunkturprognoser och konjunkturpolitikk--Ekonomiska radets arsbok 1992 (Business cycle forecasting and stabilization policies--Economic council yearbook 1992 : (Allmanna Forlaget, Stockholm, 1993), pp. 116, ISBN 91-3812586-X, ISSN 1100-3413
  by Cappelen, A. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 579-580 Market research using forecasting in business : Peter Clifton, Hai Nguyen and Susan Nutt, 1991, (Butterworth and Heinemann, Stoneham, MA), 294 pp., paperback, US$29.95, ISBN 0-7506-0153-1
  by Lawrence, Kenneth D. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 580-582 Modelling seasonality : Svend Hylleberg, Ed., (Oxford University Press, New York), 476 pp., US$75.00 hard cover (ISBN 0-19-877317-X), US$35.00 paperback (ISBN 0-19-8773188)
  by Rose, Elizabeth [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 582-583 Time series models, second edition : Andrew C. Harvey, 1993, (Harvester-Wheatsheaf, New York) xviii + 308 pp., [UK pound]14.99 (paperback), ISBN 0-7450-1200-0
  by Ray, W. D. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 583-583 Total contingency planning for disasters : Kenneth N. Myers, 1993, (Wiley, New York) xvi + 270 pp., [UK pound]45.50, ISBN 0-471-574418-X
  by Ray, W. D. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 585-586 Management science : George Duncan, Wilpen Gorr and Janusz Szczypula, 1993, "Bayesian forecasting for seemingly unrelated time series: an application to local government forecasting"39, 275-293
  by Fildes, Robert [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 586-587 Journal of the Royal Statistical Society (B) : Gary K. Grunwald, Adrian E. Raftery and Peter Guttorp, 1993, "Time series of continuous proportions", 55, 103-116
  by Fildes, Robert [Downloadable! (restricted)]

• 295-320 Earnings forecasting research: its implications for capital markets research
  by Brown, Lawrence D. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 321-323 Commentary on: Lawrence D. Brown "Earnings forecasting research: its implications for capital markets research"
  by O'Hanlon, J. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 325-330 Comments on 'Earnings forecasting research: its implications for capital markets research', by L. Brown
  by Thomas, Jacob K. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 331-335 Comments on 'Earnings forecasting research: its implications for capital markets research' by L. Brown
  by Brown, Philip [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 337-342 Comments on 'earnings forecasting research: its implications for capital markets research' by L. Brown
  by Zmijewski, Mark E. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 343-344 Reply to commentaries on "Earnings forecasting research: its implications for capital markets research"
  by Brown, Lawrence D. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 345-353 Accuracy improvements from a consensus of updated individual analyst earnings forecasts
  by Stickel, Scott E. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 355-371 Betting on trends: Intuitive forecasts of financial risk and return
  by De Bondt, Werner P. M. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 373-386 Forecasting the return and risk on a portfolio of assets
  by Meade, Nigel [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 387-397 Economic evaluation of commodity price forecasting models
  by Gerlow, Mary E. & Irwin, Scott H. & Liu, Te-Ru [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 399-405 Forecasting the number of competing products in high-technology markets
  by Bridges, Eileen & Ensor, Katherine B. & Norton, John A. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 407-421 Developing a Bayesian vector autoregression forecasting model
  by Spencer, David E. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 423-428 Software review
  by Tashman, Leonardo J. & Brody, Michael E. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 429-430 Accuracy of judgmental forecasts: A comparison : R. Nada Sanders, Omega, 20 (1992) 353-364
  by Armstrong, J. Scott [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 430-430 Calculating interval forecasts : C. Chatfield, Journal of business and economic statistics, 11 (1993), 121-144 (with discussion and response by author)
  by Ord, Keith [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 431-431 A case study of expert judgment: Economists probabilities versus base-rate model forecasts : Phillip A. Braun and Ilan Yaniv, Journal of behavioral decision making, 5 (1992), 217-231
  by Armstrong, J. Scott [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 431-432 The uses and abuses of consensus forecasts : Stephen K. McNees,Journal of forecasting, 11 (1992) 703-710
  by Armstrong, J. Scoot [Downloadable! (restricted)]

• 147-161 Improving judgmental time series forecasting: A review of the guidance provided by research
  by Goodwin, Paul & Wright, George [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 163-172 Judgemental forecasting in times of change
  by O'Connor, Marcus & Remus, William & Griggs, Ken [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 173-185 Forecasting replacement demand by occupation and education
  by Willems, E. J. T. A. & de Grip, A. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 187-202 Modeling and forecasting the time series of US fertility: Age distribution, range, and ultimate level
  by Lee, Ronald D. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 203-210 Energy forecasting models, simulations and price sensitivity: New formulation
  by Elkhafif, Mahmoud A. T. [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 211-225 Constructing leading indicators from non-balanced sectoral business survey series
  by Entorf, Horst [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 227-243 On the estimation of time-series quantiles using smoothed order statistics
  by Gelinas, Rene & Lefrancois, Pierre [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 245-253 Forecasting the failure of component parts in computer systems: A case study
  by Gardner, Everette Jr [Downloadable! (restricted)]
• 255-269 Long-range forecasting of IBM product revenues using a seasonal fractionally differenced ARMA model
  by Ray, Bonnie K. [Downloadable! (restricted)]

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-7.