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A Quarterly Econometric Model of the Slovenian Economy

Author

Listed:
  • Miroslav Verbic

    (Institute for Economic Research Ljubljana)

Abstract

The article represents a construction of a quarterly econometric model of the Slovenian economy and an analysis of fundamental relationships of the Slovenian economy. For this purpose we formed a system of identities, consistent with the national accounts, and of stochastic equations, consistent with economic theory as well as institutional and constitutional characteristics of the Slovenian economy. The present econometric model of the Slovenian economy SIQM 2.1 consists of 97 equations and covers the period of 1997:1 – 2003:4. Adequacy of the model, i.e. its ability to reproduce the actual economic developments in the period under investigation, was verified by performing dynamic simulations. It was established that the results are econometrically satisfactory and in part even quite favourable.

Suggested Citation

  • Miroslav Verbic, 2005. "A Quarterly Econometric Model of the Slovenian Economy," Econometrics 0511015, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpem:0511015
    Note: Type of Document - pdf; pages: 29
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Boris Majcen & Miroslav Verbic & Sasa Knezevic, 2005. "The Effects of Foreign Trade Liberalisation and Financial Flows between Slovenia and the EU after Accession," Post-Communist Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(2), pages 251-267.
    2. Ronald MacDonald & Jun Nagayasu, 2000. "The Long-Run Relationship Between Real Exchange Rates and Real Interest Rate Differentials: A Panel Study," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 47(1), pages 1-5.
    3. Lucas, Robert Jr, 1976. "Econometric policy evaluation: A critique," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 19-46, January.
    4. Miroslav VerbiÄ & Boris Majcen & Renger Van Nieuwkoop, 2006. "Sustainability of the Slovenian Pension System: An Analysis with an Overlapping-Generations General Equilibrium Model," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(4), pages 60-81, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    economic transformation; model construction and estimation; model evaluation and testing; simultaneous equation models; Slovenia;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C3 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection

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