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The loser's long curse: electoral consequences of a class conflict

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  • Jaakko Meriläinen
  • Matti Mitrunen

Abstract

This paper presents evidence of political legacies of exposure to a violent class conflict over 100 years. We revisit the Finnish Civil War of 1918 and first trace out the impact of local conflict exposure on electoral outcomes over a quarter-century period between the World Wars. The electoral performance of left-wing parties that backed the insurgents was persistently and negatively affected by civil war casualties on both sides of the conflict.

Suggested Citation

  • Jaakko Meriläinen & Matti Mitrunen, 2022. "The loser's long curse: electoral consequences of a class conflict," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2022-163, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    • Handle: RePEc:unu:wpaper:wp-2022-163
    as

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    File URL: https://www.wider.unu.edu/sites/default/files/Publications/Working-paper/PDF/wp2022-163-the-loser-long-curse-electoral-consequences-class-conflict.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Daron Acemoglu & James A. Robinson, 2000. "Why Did the West Extend the Franchise? Democracy, Inequality, and Growth in Historical Perspective," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 115(4), pages 1167-1199.
    2. Valencia Caicedo, Felipe & Tur-Prats, Ana, 2020. "The Long Shadow of the Spanish Civil War," CEPR Discussion Papers 15091, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. Blattman, Christopher, 2009. "From Violence to Voting: War and Political Participation in Uganda," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 103(2), pages 231-247, May.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Civil conflict; Class; Elections; Politics; Conflict; War;
    All these keywords.

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