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Improved Quantile Inference Via Fixed-Smoothing Asymptotics And Edgeworth Expansion

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Abstract

Estimation of a sample quantile's variance requires estimation of the probability density at the quantile. The common quantile spacing method involves smoothing parameter m. When m, n → ∞ , the corresponding Studentized test statistic asymptotically follows a standard normal distribution. Holding m fixed asymptotically yields a nonstandard distribution dependent on m that contains the Edgeworth expansion term capturing the variance of the quantile spacing. Consequently, the fixed-m distribution is more accurate than the standard normal under both asymptotic frameworks. For the fixed-m test, I propose an m to maximize power subject to size control, as calculated via Edgeworth expansion. Compared with similar methods, the new method controls size better and maintains good or better power in simulations. Results for two-sample quantile treatment effect inference are given in parallel.

Suggested Citation

  • David M. Kaplan, 2013. "Improved Quantile Inference Via Fixed-Smoothing Asymptotics And Edgeworth Expansion," Working Papers 1313, Department of Economics, University of Missouri.
  • Handle: RePEc:umc:wpaper:1313
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    Cited by:

    1. Matt Goldman & David M. Kaplan, 2018. "Non‐parametric inference on (conditional) quantile differences and interquantile ranges, using L‐statistics," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 21(2), pages 136-169, June.
    2. Dominique Guegan & Bertrand K. Hassani & Kehan Li, 2016. "A robust confidence interval of historical Value-at-Risk for small sample," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 16034, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
    3. David M. Kaplan & Matt Goldman, 2015. "Nonparametric inference on conditional quantile differences and linear combinations, using L-statistics," Working Papers 1503, Department of Economics, University of Missouri.
    4. Chaitra H. Nagaraja & Haikady N. Nagaraja, 2020. "Distribution‐free Approximate Methods for Constructing Confidence Intervals for Quantiles," International Statistical Review, International Statistical Institute, vol. 88(1), pages 75-100, April.
    5. David M. Kaplan, 2014. "Nonparametric Inference on Quantile Marginal Effects," Working Papers 1413, Department of Economics, University of Missouri.
    6. Goldman, Matt & Kaplan, David M., 2017. "Fractional order statistic approximation for nonparametric conditional quantile inference," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 196(2), pages 331-346.
    7. Dominique Guegan & Bertrand Hassani & Kehan Li, 2017. "Measuring risks in the extreme tail: The extreme VaR and its confidence interval," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-01317391, HAL.
    8. Dominique Guegan & Bertrand K. Hassani & Kehan Li, 2016. "Capturing the intrinsic uncertainty of the VaR: Spectrum representation of a saddlepoint approximation for an estimator of the VaR," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 16034r, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, revised Jul 2016.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Edgeworth expansion; fixed-smoothing asymptotics; inference; quantile; studentize; testing-optimal;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C01 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Econometrics
    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models

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