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Staggered contracts and inflation persistence : some general results

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  • Karl Whelan

Abstract

Despite their popularity as theoretical tools for illustrating the effects of nominal rigidities, some have questioned whether models based on staggered price contracts with rational expectations can match the persistence of the empirical inflation process. This article presents some general results about this class of models. It is shown that these models do not have a problem matching high autocorrelations for inflation. However, they fail to explain a key feature of reduced-form Phillips-curve regressions: The positive dependence of inflation on its own lags. It is shown that staggered price contracting models instead predict that the coefficients on these lag terms should be negative.

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  • Karl Whelan, 2007. "Staggered contracts and inflation persistence : some general results," Open Access publications 10197/200, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
    • Handle: RePEc:ucn:oapubs:10197/200
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10197/200
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    Cited by:

    1. Yao, Fang, 2016. "A Note On Increasing Hazard Functions And The Monetary Transmission Mechanism," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(1), pages 446-459, January.
    2. Sheedy, Kevin D., 2010. "Intrinsic inflation persistence," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(8), pages 1049-1061, November.
    3. d’Albis, Hippolyte & Augeraud-Véron, Emmanuelle & Hupkes, Hermen Jan, 2014. "Stability and determinacy conditions for mixed-type functional differential equations," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 119-129.
    4. Olivier Musy, 2021. "A New Keynesian Phillips Curve With Staggered Contracts and Indexation," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 41(1), pages 60-65.
    5. Westerhout, Ed & Beetsma, Roel, 2019. "A comparison of nominal and indexed debt under fiscal constraints," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 177-194.
    6. Alvarez González, Luis Julián, 2008. "What Do Micro Price Data Tell Us on the Validity of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve?," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 2, pages 1-36.
    7. Yao, Fang, 2009. "Time-dependent pricing and New Keynesian Phillips curve," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2009,08, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    8. Tenreyro, Silvana & Drechsel, Thomas & McLeay, Michael, 2019. "Monetary policy for commodity booms and busts," CEPR Discussion Papers 14030, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

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