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Italie : sortir du double piège de l'endettement élevé et de la faible croissance

Author

Listed:
  • Céline Antonin

    (Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques)

  • Mattia Guerini

    (Scuola Superiore Sant'Anna)

  • Mauro Napoletano

    (Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques)

  • Francesco Vona

    (Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques)

Abstract

Depuis 20 ans, l’Italie apparaît prisonnière d’une faible croissance, d’un endettement élevé et de faiblesses structurelles, exacerbées par la Grande récession de 2008. Ainsi, en 2018, le PIB par habitant en volume, corrigé des parités de pouvoir d’achat, atteint le même niveau qu’en 1999 (graphique 1). L’Italie est désormais devancée par l’Espagne ; elle est également le seul des quatre grands pays de la zone euro qui n’a pas retrouvé son niveau d’avant-crise. Dans un Policy brief intitulé « Italie : sortir du double piège de l’endettement élevé et de la faible croissance », après avoir étudié l’historique de l’endettement public, nous tentons de cerner les causes de la stagnation italienne, qui s’illustre également par la baisse de la productivité globale des facteurs (graphique 2). Le graphique 2 montre que cette productivité globale des facteurs en Italie a connu une baisse cumulée de 7,9 % au cours des 20 dernières années. Ceci contraste avec les gains d’efficacité enregistrés en France et en Allemagne, où la productivité a augmenté respectivement de 4,1 % et 7,9 %.

Suggested Citation

  • Céline Antonin & Mattia Guerini & Mauro Napoletano & Francesco Vona, 2019. "Italie : sortir du double piège de l'endettement élevé et de la faible croissance," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/5hnkti8v269, Sciences Po.
    • Handle: RePEc:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/5hnkti8v2697epgia90q9uple0
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    Cited by:

    1. Larry Hughes & Moniek Jong & Zach Thorne, 2021. "(De)coupling and (De)carbonizing in the economies and energy systems of the G20," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(4), pages 5614-5639, April.
    2. Nicola Cassandro & Marco Centra & Dario Guarascio & Piero Esposito, 2021. "What drives employment–unemployment transitions? Evidence from Italian task-based data," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 38(3), pages 1109-1147, October.
    3. Daniele, SCHILIRO', 2019. "Public debt and growth in Italy:Analysis and policy proposals," MPRA Paper 97950, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Nov 2019.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Dette publique; Italie; Croissance; Stagnation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General
    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General

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