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Italian Government debt liquidity, is it of value?

Author

Listed:
  • Simona Delle Chiaie

    (Banque de France)

  • Bernardo Maggi

    (Sapienza Universita' di Roma)

Abstract

In this paper we analyze the yield difference between two on- and off-the-run similar notes to gauge the liquidity premium. We investigate this issue by relating such a differential to several liquidity indicators that we build and examine -to our knowledge for the first time- throughout the entire life of the Italian Government securities. We provide evidence on the differences between the US and the Italian security markets, calculate accurately the joint and the total probability for liquidity shocks and provide a methodology to cope with the resilience of a liquidity shock and its implications in terms of issuance policies

Suggested Citation

  • Simona Delle Chiaie & Bernardo Maggi, 2014. "Italian Government debt liquidity, is it of value?," DSS Empirical Economics and Econometrics Working Papers Series 2014/3, Centre for Empirical Economics and Econometrics, Department of Statistics, "Sapienza" University of Rome.
    • Handle: RePEc:sas:wpaper:20143
    as

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    File URL: http://www.dss.uniroma1.it/RePec/sas/wpaper/20143_mdc.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Francisco Alonso & Roberto Blanco & Ana Del Rio & Alicia Sanchis, 2004. "Estimating liquidity premia in the Spanish government securities market," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(6), pages 453-474.
    2. Michael J. Fleming, 2003. "Measuring treasury market liquidity," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, issue Sep, pages 83-108.
    3. Dong Lou & Hongjun Yan & Jinfan Zhang, 2013. "Anticipated and Repeated Shocks in Liquid Markets," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 26(8), pages 1891-1912.
    4. Pasquariello, Paolo & Vega, Clara, 2009. "The on-the-run liquidity phenomenon," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(1), pages 1-24, April.
    5. David Goldreich & Bernd Hanke & Purnendu Nath, 2005. "The Price of Future Liquidity: Time-Varying Liquidity in the U.S. Treasury Market," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 9(1), pages 1-32.
    6. Edwin J. Elton & T. Clifton Green, 1998. "Tax and Liquidity Effects in Pricing Government Bonds," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 53(5), pages 1533-1562, October.
    7. Coluzzi, Chiara & Ginebri, Sergio & Turco, Manuel, 2008. "Measuring and Analyzing the Liquidity of the Italian Treasury Security Wholesale Secondary Market," Economics & Statistics Discussion Papers esdp08044, University of Molise, Department of Economics.
    8. Balduzzi, Pierluigi & Elton, Edwin J. & Green, T. Clifton, 2001. "Economic News and Bond Prices: Evidence from the U.S. Treasury Market," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 36(4), pages 523-543, December.
    9. Amihud, Yakov & Mendelson, Haim, 1991. "Liquidity, Maturity, and the Yields on U.S. Treasury Securities," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 46(4), pages 1411-1425, September.
    10. Michael J. Fleming & Eli M. Remolona, 1999. "Price Formation and Liquidity in the U.S. Treasury Market: The Response to Public Information," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 54(5), pages 1901-1915, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    Cited by:

    1. Eleonora Cavallaro & Bernardo Maggi, 2014. "State of confidence, overborrowing and the macroeconomic stabilization puzzle," DSS Empirical Economics and Econometrics Working Papers Series 2014/2, Centre for Empirical Economics and Econometrics, Department of Statistics, "Sapienza" University of Rome.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Treasury bonds market; liquidity; on/off-the-run cycle; liquidity shock probability; resilience.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

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