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Predicting Market Power in Wholesale Electricity Markets

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Author Info
David Newbery

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Abstract

The traditional measure of market power is the HHI, which gives implausible results given the low elasticity of demand in electricity spot markets, unless it is adapted to take account of contracting. In its place the Residual Supply Index has been proposed as a more suitable index to measure potential market power in electricity markets, notably in California and more recently in the EU Sector Inquiry. The paper investigates its value in identifying the ability of firms to raise prices in an electricity market with contracts and capacity constraints and find that it is most useful for the case of a single dominant supplier, or with a natural extension, for the case of a symmetric oligoply. Estimates from the Sector Inquiry seem to fit this case better than might be expected, but suggests an alternative defintion of the RSI defined over flexible output that should give a more reliable relationship.

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File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/1814/10620
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by European University Institute in its series RSCAS Working Papers with number 2009/03.

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Date of creation: 02 Feb 2009
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Handle: RePEc:rsc:rsceui:2009/03

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Related research
Keywords: Residual Supply Index; Cournot equilibrium; Lerner Index; electricity markets; market power;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
D43 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure and Pricing - - - Oligopoly and Other Forms of Market Imperfection
K21 - Law and Economics - - Regulation and Business Law - - - Antitrust Law
L94 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities - - - Electric Utilities

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  1. Allaz Blaise & Vila Jean-Luc, 1993. "Cournot Competition, Forward Markets and Efficiency," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 59(1), pages 1-16, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Kreps, David M & Wilson, Robert, 1982. "Sequential Equilibria," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 863-94, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-10.


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