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The Dynamics of Heterogeneous Political Party Support and Egocentric Economic Evaluations: the Scottish Case

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  • Chrysanthou, Georgios Marios

    (University of Alicante, D. Quantitative Methods and Economic Theory)

  • Guilló, María Dolores

    (University of Alicante, D. Quantitative Methods and Economic Theory)

Abstract

We explore the dynamics of the Scottish National Party support using longitudinal data from the BHPS during 1999-2006. Exploiting the Scottish extension sample, available since the establishment of the new Scottish Parliament in 1999, we study the relative importance of political sentiments and egocentric economic evaluations by disentangling the effects of state dependence and unobserved heterogeneity by gender. Egocentric economic evaluations are more important for the male electorate, while initial party affiliation constitutes the overriding determinant of party support among the partisan electorates regardless of gender. The electors hold the incumbent governing party accountable for their personal financial situation, but financial security and optimism augment the nationalist propensity of the partisan electorate.

Suggested Citation

  • Chrysanthou, Georgios Marios & Guilló, María Dolores, 2016. "The Dynamics of Heterogeneous Political Party Support and Egocentric Economic Evaluations: the Scottish Case," QM&ET Working Papers 16-3, University of Alicante, D. Quantitative Methods and Economic Theory.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:qmetal:2016_003
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    egocentric economic evaluations; political preferences; unobserved heterogeneity; voting;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • C25 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions; Probabilities
    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior

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