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Measuring the Miracle: Market Imperfections and Asia's Growth Experience

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Author Info
John Fernald () (Research Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco)
Brent Neiman

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Abstract

A clear understanding of the rapid development of the newly industrialized economies (NIEs) of Asia remains elusive, with disputes over the roles of technology growth, capital accumulation, and international trade and investment. Most notably, alternative approaches to growth accounting yield contradictory results: Estimates using quantities of inputs and output (the primal approach) find slow TFP growth, whereas estimates using real factor prices (the dual approach) find relatively rapid TFP growth. Further, the growth accounting studies report constant or increasing labor shares in most of the NIEs, inconsistent with theories emphasizing the importance of international trade in Asia’s development. We reconcile these apparent contradictions by taking account of economically interesting imperfections in output and capital markets, such as sizeable economic profits and government-directed credit. In Singapore, where the growth accounting disparity is largest, these market imperfections essentially fostered a two-sector economy in which some firms, part of a “favored†sector, received preferential treatment and reaped economic profits. We describe the dynamics of this two-sector framework and derive measures of technology growth, corrected for the imperfections that we quantify. We then discuss implications for broader disputes about Asian development

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Society for Economic Dynamics in its series 2006 Meeting Papers with number 785.

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Date of creation: 03 Dec 2006
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Handle: RePEc:red:sed006:785

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Related research
Keywords: Growth Accounting Development Accounting Asia

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
O41 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models
O47 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Measurement of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
O53 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East

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  1. repec:rus:hseeco:70719 is not listed on IDEAS
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  20. Olivier Blanchard & Francesco Giavazzi, 2001. "Macroeconomic Effects of Regulation and Deregulation in Goods and Labor Markets," NBER Working Papers 8120, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  21. Alwyn Young, 1998. "Alternative Estimates of Productivity Growth in the NICs: A Comment on the Findings of Chang-Tai Hsieh," NBER Working Papers 6657, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  1. Rod Tyers, 2008. "Competition Policy, Corporate Saving and China's Current Account Surplus," ANUCBE School of Economics Working Papers 2008-496, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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