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Tourism Services Exports and Economic Growth in Barbados

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  • Lorde, Troy
  • Francis, Brian
  • Drakes, Lisa

Abstract

This article investigated the relationship between tourism and economic growth in Barbados from 1974–2004 using the techniques of multivariate cointegration, causality testing, and innovation accounting. Findings reveal the existence of a long-run relationship between tourist activity and economic growth. However, the nature of the directional relationship and the importance of the real exchange rate as an important determinant appear to be dependent on how output is specified and the statistical techniques employed. Still, our results provide justification for the Government of Barbados’ objective of investing in its tourism industry as a means of stimulating growth over the long term. As there is an indication that forward and backward linkages are not as fully developed as they could be, and initiatives should also be put in place to foster stronger linkages between the tourism industry and other sectors, such as agriculture, food and beverage, and transportation. It is recommended, though, that policymakers do not over-rely on tourism for economic growth and that they pay greater attention to other industries given the tourism industry’s capricious nature.

Suggested Citation

  • Lorde, Troy & Francis, Brian & Drakes, Lisa, 2009. "Tourism Services Exports and Economic Growth in Barbados," MPRA Paper 95549, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:95549
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Brida, Juan Gabriel & Pereyra, Juan Sebastián & Such, María Jesús & Pulina, Manuela, 2011. "Causalidad entre turismo y crecimiento económico de largo plazo: una revisión crítica de la literatura econométrica [Causality between tourism and long-term economic growth: a critical review of th," MPRA Paper 37332, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2011.
    2. Mohammad Jaforullah, 2015. "International tourism and economic growth in New Zealand," Working Papers 1502, University of Otago, Department of Economics, revised Apr 2015.
    3. Mayers, Sherry-Ann & Jackman, Mahalia, 2011. "Investigating the business cycle properties of tourist flows to Barbados," MPRA Paper 38646, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Jun Zhang & Li Cheng, 2019. "Threshold Effect of Tourism Development on Economic Growth Following a Disaster Shock: Evidence from the Wenchuan Earthquake, P.R. China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-22, January.
    5. Ronald Ravinesh Kumar & Peter Josef Stauvermann & Nikeel Kumar & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad, 2019. "Exploring the effect of ICT and tourism on economic growth: a study of Israel," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 52(3), pages 221-254, August.
    6. Benzarour, Choukri & satour, rachid, 2016. "السياحة والنمو الاقتصادي في الجزائر : الأدلة من التكامل المشترك و تحليل السببية [Tourism and economic growth in Algeria: Evidence of Cointegration and causal analysis]," MPRA Paper 78731, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    tourism-led growth hypothesis; Barbados; multivariate cointegration; causality; innovation accounting;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • L83 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Sports; Gambling; Restaurants; Recreation; Tourism
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence

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