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Bangladesh’s Trade Partners and the J-Curve: An Asymmetry Analysis

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  • BAHMANI-OSKOOEE, Mohsen
  • Rahman, Mir Obaidur
  • Kashem, Muhammad

Abstract

Separating currency appreciations from depreciations and using nonlinear models in recent literature have improved discovering significant link between the trade balance and the exchange rate. We add to this growing literature by considering the experience of Bangladesh with 11 trading partners. When a linear model was used, support for the J-curve effect was present only with one small partner. However, when a nonlinear model was used, support increased to three countries including the largest partner, the U.S. which accounts for more than 12% of Bangladesh’s trade. Furthermore, the nonlinear models supported short-run asymmetry adjustment as well as short-run asymmetry effects of exchange rate changes in most cases. However, long-run asymmetric effects were limited to a few.

Suggested Citation

  • BAHMANI-OSKOOEE, Mohsen & Rahman, Mir Obaidur & Kashem, Muhammad, 2017. "Bangladesh’s Trade Partners and the J-Curve: An Asymmetry Analysis," MPRA Paper 81208, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 07 Sep 2017.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:81208
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    1. Rabeya Khatoon & Md Emran Hasan & Md Wahid Ferdous Ibon & Shahidul Islam & Jeenat Mehareen & Rubaiya Murshed & Md Nahid Ferdous Pabon & Md. Jillur Rahman & Musharrat Shabnam Shuchi, 2022. "Aggregation, asymmetry, and common factors for Bangladesh’s exchange rate–trade balance relation," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(6), pages 2739-2770, June.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bangladesh; Taka; J-curve; Asymmetry Analysis; 11 Partners;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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