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Improving Climate-Change Modeling of U.S. Migration

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  • Partridge, Mark
  • Feng, Bo
  • Rembert, Mark

Abstract

Manmade climate change (CC) has catastrophic consequences. The United States has already experienced wholesale population realignment due to climate as households have relocated to the Sunbelt and West. The irony is that people are moving towards the heat and major storms associated with CC. As CC intensifies, with high rates of internal U.S. factor mobility, firms and households will likely again relocate to areas with higher utility and profits, reducing CC costs. Yet current research typically focuses on CC costs in a given location without considering this realignment. We propose several avenues to overcome such shortcomings in U.S. CC modelling.

Suggested Citation

  • Partridge, Mark & Feng, Bo & Rembert, Mark, 2017. "Improving Climate-Change Modeling of U.S. Migration," MPRA Paper 76419, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:76419
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    7. Mark D. Partridge, 2010. "The duelling models: NEG vs amenity migration in explaining US engines of growth," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 89(3), pages 513-536, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. Evelyn G. Shu & Jeremy R. Porter & Mathew E. Hauer & Sebastian Sandoval Olascoaga & Jesse Gourevitch & Bradley Wilson & Mariah Pope & David Melecio-Vazquez & Edward Kearns, 2023. "Integrating climate change induced flood risk into future population projections," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-9, December.
    2. Jake Organ & David Dixon & Kira Villa, 2023. "Climate Change, Fertility and Sahelian Demographics," Journal of Sustainable Development, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 16(1), pages 1-1, May.
    3. Ning Jia & Raven Molloy & Christopher Smith & Abigail Wozniak, 2023. "The Economics of Internal Migration: Advances and Policy Questions," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 61(1), pages 144-180, March.
    4. Matteo Benetton & Simone Emiliozzi & Elisa Guglielminetti & Michele Loberto & Alessandro Mistretta, 2022. "Do house prices reflect climate change adaptation? Evidence from the city on the water," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 735, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    5. Brice B. Hanberry, 2020. "Compounded Heat and Fire Risk for Future U.S. Populations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-12, April.
    6. Qin Fan & Meri Davlasheridze, 2019. "Economic Impacts Of Migration And Brain Drain After Major Catastrophe: The Case Of Hurricane Katrina," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 10(01), pages 1-21, February.
    7. Agustín Indaco & Francesc Ortega, 2024. "Adapting to Climate Risk? Local Population Dynamics in the United States," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 61-106, March.
    8. Oliveira, Jaqueline & Pereda, Paula, 2020. "The impact of climate change on internal migration in Brazil," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Climate change; migration; prediction; spatial equilibrium;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • R0 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population

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