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The Memornada trap and almost fall of the Greek economy

Author

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  • Kyriazis, Nicholas
  • Economou, Emmanouel/Marios/Lazaros

Abstract

We analyse economic and political developments in Greece for the period 2010-2015, after the introduction of the memoranda agreements between Greece, the European Union (EU), the European central Bank (ECB) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF). We suggest that a vicious cycle took place, whereby austerity measures, badly implemented programs, mistakes of economic policy, unwillingness on the part of the Greek governments to implement structural reforms, and political immaturity from both politicians and citizens led to the failure of the memoranda and furthered political instability. We introduce a game theoretical approach as a model for the “European game” played by Greece and the EU and the complex and confused situation and diverging aims among the major participants: Greece, Germany, the USA, France, the Baltic States, Finland, the IMF, etc. as well as a presentation of the June 5th referendum in Greece. We then present our estimations for the sustainability of the public debt, followed by our conclusions.

Suggested Citation

  • Kyriazis, Nicholas & Economou, Emmanouel/Marios/Lazaros, 2016. "The Memornada trap and almost fall of the Greek economy," MPRA Paper 76404, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:76404
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Emmanouil M. L. Economou & Nicholas K. Kyriazis, 2015. "The Arcadian Federation: A Benchmark for the Further EU Integration," Journal of Social Science Studies, Macrothink Institute, vol. 2(2), pages 294-308, July.
    2. Emmanouil Economou & Nicholas Kyriazis & Theodore Metaxas, 2015. "The institutional and economic foundations of regional proto-federations," Economics of Governance, Springer, vol. 16(3), pages 251-271, August.
    3. Christodoulakis, Nicos, 2014. "The conflict trap in the Greek Civil War 1946-1949: an economic approach," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 56228, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    4. Economou, Emmanouel/Marios/Lazaros & Kyriazis, Nicholas, 2013. "The emergence and the development of the federations: The Achaean federation, the United Provinces and the EU," MPRA Paper 47349, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Memoranda; Greek economic crisis; public debt; debt projection analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H50 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - General
    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt
    • N14 - Economic History - - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations - - - Europe: 1913-

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