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Should Shariah-compliant investors include commodities in their portfolios? New evidence

Author

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  • Nagayev, Ruslan
  • Masih, Mansur

Abstract

This paper investigates the links between price returns for seven commodities and Shariah-compliant equities (developed and emerging markets) over the period from January 1996 to April 2013. Employing the dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) M-GARCH methodology, we show that the correlations between commodity and stock markets evolve over time and are highly volatile, particularly during the financial crisis, which has played a key role, emphasizing the increased integration between commodity and stock markets, and underlining the financialization of commodity markets. However, in the last couple of years the correlation between commodities and equities seems to be decaying. Hence, Islamic investors hopefully could gain from the diversification benefits by the inclusion of commodities into their portfolios.

Suggested Citation

  • Nagayev, Ruslan & Masih, Mansur, 2013. "Should Shariah-compliant investors include commodities in their portfolios? New evidence," MPRA Paper 58851, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:58851
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/58851/1/MPRA_paper_58851.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Girardi, Daniele, 2012. "Do financial investors affect the price of wheat?," MPRA Paper 40285, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Ke Tang & Wei Xiong, 2010. "Index Investment and Financialization of Commodities," NBER Working Papers 16385, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Daniele Girardi, 2012. "Do financial investors affect the price of wheat?," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 65(260), pages 79-109.
    4. Silvennoinen, Annastiina & Thorp, Susan, 2013. "Financialization, crisis and commodity correlation dynamics," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 42-65.
    5. Roache, Shaun K. & Rossi, Marco, 2010. "The effects of economic news on commodity prices," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(3), pages 377-385, August.
    6. Belousova, Julia & Dorfleitner, Gregor, 2012. "On the diversification benefits of commodities from the perspective of euro investors," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(9), pages 2455-2472.
    7. Nazlioglu, Saban & Erdem, Cumhur & Soytas, Ugur, 2013. "Volatility spillover between oil and agricultural commodity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 658-665.
    8. Daskalaki, Charoula & Skiadopoulos, George, 2011. "Should investors include commodities in their portfolios after all? New evidence," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(10), pages 2606-2626, October.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    financialization of commodities; shariah-compliant equities; MGARCH – DCC technique;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • Q14 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Finance

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