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A model for economic planning and analysis for the brazilian economy

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  • Guilhoto, Joaquim José Martins

Abstract

In this work a general purpose multisectoral economy-wide model, solved for growth rates, is constructed for the Brazilian economy. In constructing the Brazilian model, the ORANI model for the Australian Economy was chosen as the starting point and was modified in a way that it can reflect and can be used to study the Brazilian reality.The main differences between both models are that in the Brazilian model: a)A special treatment is giving to the government sector; b)The demand for household consumption is broken down by different income groups, and an equation linking the workers income with their expenditure is introduced; allowing in this way for the study of income distribution problems; c) An industry by industry framework is used, opposing to an industry by commodity framework used in the ORANI model; d) Prices are assumed to be formed through a mark-up price theory, while the ORANI model assumes that prices are formed by maximizing profits. The Brazilian model is constructed for: a) 21 industries; b) 3 types of primary factors (3 categories of labor, fixed capital, and agricultural land); c) one type of other costs; d) 2 sources of products (domestic and imported); e) 6 types of product use (inputs to current production, inputs to capital formation, commodity flows to household consumption, exports, government demands, and other demands); and f) 3 income groups. The model also presents a detailed specification for trade margins and taxes. The basic input-output data used in the model refers to the 1975 input-output matrices for the Brazilian economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Guilhoto, Joaquim José Martins, 1986. "A model for economic planning and analysis for the brazilian economy," MPRA Paper 53944, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:53944
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Guilhoto, Joaquim José Martins & Conceição, Pedro H.Z. da & Crocomo, Francisco C., 1996. "Estruturas de produção, consumo, e distribuição de renda na economia brasileira: 1975 e 1980 comparados [Production, consumption and income distribution structures in Brazilian economy: 1975 and 19," MPRA Paper 54749, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Guilhoto, Joaquim José Martins, 2011. "Análise de Insumo-Produto: Teoria e Fundamentos [Input-Output Analysis: Theory and Foundations]," MPRA Paper 32566, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Guilhoto, Joaquim José Martins, 1995. "PAPA: An economy-wide general purpose computable general equilibrium model for the Brazilian economy," MPRA Paper 54755, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Guilhoto, Joaquim José Martins, 2001. "Leontief e insumo-produto: antecedentes, princípios e evolução [Leotief and input-output: background, principles and evolution]," MPRA Paper 54649, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Hewings, Geoffrey J. D. & Fonseca, Manuel & Guilhoto, Joaquim & Sonis, Michael, 1989. "Key sectors and structural change in the Brazilian economy: A comparison of alternative approaches and their policy implications," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 11(1), pages 67-90.
    6. Eduardo Haddad & Geoffrey Hewings, 1999. "The short-run regional effects of new investments and technological upgrade in the Brazilian automobile industry: An interregional computable general equilibrium analysis," Oxford Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(3), pages 359-383.
    7. Guilhoto, Joaquim José Martins & Hasegawa, Marcos & Lopes, Ricardo Luis, 2002. "A estrutura teórica do modelo inter-regional para a economia brasileira - MIBRA [The theoretical structure of inter regional model for the Brazilian economy - MIBRA]," MPRA Paper 54019, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Eduardo Haddad & Geoffrey J.D. Hewings, 1998. "Transportation costs, regional inequality and structural changes in the Brazilian economy: An interregional CGE approach," ERSA conference papers ersa98p426, European Regional Science Association.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic planning; brazilian economy;

    JEL classification:

    • D57 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Input-Output Tables and Analysis

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