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The Cost of Nominal Inertia in NNS Models

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Author Info
Matthew B. Canzoneri
Robert E. Cumby
Behzad T. Diba

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Abstract

We calculate the welfare cost of nominal inertia in a New Neoclassical Synthesis model with wage and price stickiness, capital formation, and empirically estimated rules for government spending and the cental bank's interest rate policy. We calibrate our model to U.S. data, and we show that it captures many aspects of the U.S. business cycle. Moreover, our model is capable of generating the kind of volatility that has been observed in the efficiency gaps emphasized by Erceg, Henderson and Levin (2000) and Gali, Gertler and Lopez-Salido (2002). We also highlight some of the empirical shortcomings of the model; in particular, demand side shocks appear to be either missing or improperly modeled. We calculate the cost of nominal inertia under two specifications of monetary policy. The bottom line is that, under our preferred specification of monetary policy, the model implies a conservative estimate of the cost that is twenty to sixty times larger than Lucas's (2003) estimate: the "average" household in our model would be willing to give up one to three percent of consumption each period to be free of the effects of wage and price stickiness. Wage inertia appears to be the major source of these welfare costs.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 10889.

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Date of creation: Nov 2004
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:10889

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E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles

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References listed on IDEAS
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    Other versions:
  3. Taylor, John B., 1999. "Staggered price and wage setting in macroeconomics," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & M. Woodford (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 15, pages 1009-1050 Elsevier. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Jordi Gali & Mark Gertler, 2000. "Inflation Dynamics: A Structural Econometric Analysis," NBER Working Papers 7551, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Clarida, Richard & Galí, Jordi & Gertler, Mark, 1999. "The Science of Monetary Policy: A New Keynesian Perspective," CEPR Discussion Papers 2139, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  20. Erceg, Christopher J. & Henderson, Dale W. & Levin, Andrew T., 2000. "Optimal monetary policy with staggered wage and price contracts," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(2), pages 281-313, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  1. David, DE LA CROIX & Gregory, DE WALQUE & Rafael, WOUTERS, 2006. "Dynamics and monetary policy in a fair wage model of the business cycle," Discussion Papers (ECON - Département des Sciences Economiques) 2006061, Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Stéphane Auray & Aurélien Eyquem & Jean-Christophe Poutineau, 2008. "The Welfare Gains of Trade Integration in the European Monetary Union," Cahiers de recherche 08-10, Departement d'Economique de la Faculte d'administration à l'Universite de Sherbrooke. [Downloadable!]
  3. Vladislav Damjanovic & Charles Nolan, 2005. " Aggregate Dynamics with Heterogeneous Agents and State-Dependent Pricing," CDMA Working Paper Series 0505, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis. [Downloadable!]
  4. Frederick van der Ploeg, 2005. "Back to Keynes?," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Minford, Patrick, 2007. "Calvo Contracts - Optimal Indexation in General Equilibrium," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2007/8, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, revised Oct 2008. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  6. Charles Nolan & Christoph Thoenissen, 2005. " Labour Markets and Firm-Specific Capital in New Keynesian General Equilibrium Models," CDMA Working Paper Series 0501, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis, revised May 2005. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  7. Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Minford, Patrick, 2007. "Optimising Indexation Arrangements under Calvo Contracts and their Implications for Monetary Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 6325, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  8. Le, Vo Phuong Mai & Minford, Patrick & Wickens, Michael, 2008. "How much nominal rigidity is there in the US economy? Testing a New Keynesian DSGE Model using indirect inference," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2008/32, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, revised Oct 2009. [Downloadable!]
  9. Arnab Bhattacharjee & Christoph Thoenissen, 2005. " Money and Monetary Policy in Stochastic General Equilibrium Models," CDMA Working Paper Series 0511, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis, revised Feb 2007. [Downloadable!]
  10. Aurélien Eyquem (CREM - CNRS), 2007. "Fiscal Policy in an Estimated Model of the European Monetary Union," Economics Working Paper Archive (University of Rennes 1 & University of Caen) 200705, Center for Research in Economics and Management (CREM), University of Rennes 1, University of Caen and CNRS. [Downloadable!]
  11. Arnab Bhattacharjee & Christoph Thoenissen, 2007. "Money and Monetary Policy in DSGE Models," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 78, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
  12. Matthias Paustian, 2004. "Can Wage and Price Stickiness Account for Sizeable Costs of Business Cycle Fluctuations?," Bonn Econ Discussion Papers bgse18_2004, University of Bonn, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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  16. Leonor Coutinho, 2008. "Fiscal Policy and Macroeconomic Stabilizations: What are the Gains from Cooperation?," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 81-120, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  17. Stéphane Auray & Aurélien Eyquem & Jean-Christophe Poutineau, 2008. "The Extensive Margin of Trade under Alternative Monetary Policy Regimes," Cahiers de recherche 08-09, Departement d'Economique de la Faculte d'administration à l'Universite de Sherbrooke. [Downloadable!]
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