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A monetary policy rule: The augmented Monetary Conditions Index for Philippines using UECM and bounds tests

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  • Wai-Ching Poon

Abstract

This paper constructs the augmented monetary conditions index (AMCI) over 1982:1-2004:4 using UECM and bounds test approach for the Philippines data. Results reveal evidence of cointegration between the real GDP and its determinants, namely short-term interest rate, exchange rate and claims on private sectors that take into account three key transmission mechanisms channels in the conduct of monetary policy, namely the interest rate, exchange rate and credit channels. While asset price channel is found to be insignificant. The monetary conditions during the study periods is reflected in the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas’s reaction to the prevailing economic situation, imply that the AMCI tracks the inverse movements of the real GDP growth reasonably well after 1990s. Possible light of policy implications have put forward.

Suggested Citation

  • Wai-Ching Poon, 2010. "A monetary policy rule: The augmented Monetary Conditions Index for Philippines using UECM and bounds tests," Monash Economics Working Papers 04-10, Monash University, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:mos:moswps:2010-04
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    File URL: http://www.buseco.monash.edu.au/eco/research/papers/2010/0410monetarypoon.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Erasmus L. Owusu & Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2014. "Financial liberalisation and economic growth in Nigeria: an ARDL-bounds testing approach," Journal of Economic Policy Reform, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(2), pages 164-177, June.
    2. Erasmus L. Owusu & Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2014. "Stock market development and economic growth in Ghana: an ARDL-bounds testing approach," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(4), pages 229-234, March.
    3. Erasmus L Owusu, 2016. "Stock Market and Sustainable Economic Growth in Nigeria," Economies, MDPI, vol. 4(4), pages 1-13, November.
    4. Bui Thanh Trung, 2022. "Measuring Monetary Policy in Emerging Economy: The Role of Monetary Condition Index," Journal of Economics / Ekonomicky casopis, Institute of Economic Research, Slovak Academy of Sciences, vol. 70(6), pages 499-522, June.

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    Keywords

    AMCI; monetary policy; cointegration; bounds test; UECM; transmission mechanisms;
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