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The Information Content of Implied Probabilities to Detect Structural Change

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Author Info
Alain Guay
Jean-François Lamarche

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Abstract

This paper proposes Pearson-type statistics based on implies probabilities to detect structural change. The class of generalized empirical likelihood estimators (see Smith (1997)) assigns a set of probabilities to each observation such that moment conditions are satisfied. These restricted probabilities are called implied probabilities. Implied probabilities may also be constructed for the standard GMM (see Back and Brown (1993)). The proposed test statistics for structural change are based on the information content in these implied probabilities. We consider cases of structural change with unknown breakpoint which can occur in the parameters of interest or in the overidentifying restrictions used to estimate these parameters. The test statistics considered here have good size and power properties.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by CIRPEE in its series Cahiers de recherche with number 0833.

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Date of creation: 2008
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Handle: RePEc:lvl:lacicr:0833

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Related research
Keywords: Generalized empirical likelihood; generalized method of moments; parameter instability; structural change;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Hypothesis Testing
C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-5.


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