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Chaotic Dynamics of a Piecewise Linear Model of Credit Cycles with Imperfect Observability

Author

Listed:
  • Takao Asano

    (Okayama University)

  • Masanori Yokoo

    (Okayama University)

Abstract

By incorporating information imperfection into the model of Asano et al. (2012), which is a special case of Matsuyama's (2007) model, we develop a model of endogenous business cycles to analyze how information imperfection affects the dynamic nature of the model. Some sort of "noise" representing information imperfection is shown to transform Matsuyama's model into a continuous, eventually expanding, piecewise linear map on the interval with the Markov property, which implies the occurrence of observable chaotic dynamics in our setting. Unlike the models of Asano et al. (2012) and Matsuyama (2007), our model deals with observable chaos for a large set of parameter values.

Suggested Citation

  • Takao Asano & Masanori Yokoo, 2017. "Chaotic Dynamics of a Piecewise Linear Model of Credit Cycles with Imperfect Observability," KIER Working Papers 967, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
  • Handle: RePEc:kyo:wpaper:967
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    File URL: http://www.kier.kyoto-u.ac.jp/DP/DP967.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Yokoo, Masanori & Ishida, Junichiro, 2008. "Misperception-driven chaos: Theory and policy implications," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 32(6), pages 1732-1753, June.
    2. Matsuyama, Kiminori & Sushko, Iryna & Gardini, Laura, 2016. "Revisiting the model of credit cycles with Good and Bad projects," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 525-556.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Matsuyama model; credit cycle; piecewise linearity; chaotic dynamics; ergodic chaos;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • O14 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Industrialization; Manufacturing and Service Industries; Choice of Technology
    • O41 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models
    • C62 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Existence and Stability Conditions of Equilibrium

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