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Optimal Fiscal Spending and Reserve Accumulation Policies under Volatile Aid

Author

Listed:
  • Ioana Moldovan
  • Susan Yang Shu-Chun
  • Luis-Felipe Zanna

Abstract

This paper assesses the optimal setting of fiscal spending and foreign exchange rate intervention policies in response to volatile foreign aid, in a small open economy model that incorporates typical features of low-income countries. Within a class of policy rules, it jointly considers the optimal aid spending and international reserve accumulation policies. The results show that it is optimal to adjust government spending gradually in response to unpredictable fluctuations in aid, while partially accumulating foreign exchange reserves to offset Dutch disease effects. Also, allocating relatively more of the government spending to productive public investment, and less to government consumption, is welfare improving.

Suggested Citation

  • Ioana Moldovan & Susan Yang Shu-Chun & Luis-Felipe Zanna, 2019. "Optimal Fiscal Spending and Reserve Accumulation Policies under Volatile Aid," IMF Working Papers 2019/126, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2019/126
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Fogli, Alessandra & Perri, Fabrizio, 2015. "Macroeconomic volatility and external imbalances," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 1-15.
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    4. Shen, Wenyi & Yang, Shu-Chun S. & Zanna, Luis-Felipe, 2018. "Government spending effects in low-income countries," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 201-219.
    5. Demirguc-Kunt, Asli & Klapper, Leora, 2012. "Measuring financial inclusion : the Global Findex Database," Policy Research Working Paper Series 6025, The World Bank.
    6. Jessica Goldberg, 2016. "Kwacha Gonna Do? Experimental Evidence about Labor Supply in Rural Malawi," American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, American Economic Association, vol. 8(1), pages 129-149, January.
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