Do unobserved components models forecast inflation in Russia?
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- Harvey,Andrew & Koopman,Siem Jan & Shephard,Neil (ed.), 2004. "State Space and Unobserved Component Models," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521835954.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Koop, Gary & Poirier, Dale J., 2004.
"Bayesian variants of some classical semiparametric regression techniques,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 123(2), pages 259-282, December.
- Koop, G. & Poirier, D., 2000. "Bayesian Variants of Some Classical Semiparametric Regression Techniques," Papers 00-01-22, California Irvine - School of Social Sciences.
- Gary Koop & Dale J Poirer, 2001. "Bayesian Variants of Some classical Semiparametric Regression Techniques," Edinburgh School of Economics Discussion Paper Series 73, Edinburgh School of Economics, University of Edinburgh.
- Guizzardi, Andrea & Mazzocchi, Mario, 2010. "Tourism demand for Italy and the business cycle," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 367-377.
- Michel Culot & Valérie Goffin & Steve Lawford & Sébastien de Meten & Yves Smeers, 2013. "Practical stochastic modelling of electricity prices," Post-Print hal-01021603, HAL.
- Łukasz Lenart & Błażej Mazur, 2016. "On Bayesian Inference for Almost Periodic in Mean Autoregressive Models," FindEcon Chapters: Forecasting Financial Markets and Economic Decision-Making, in: Magdalena Osińska (ed.), Statistical Review, vol. 63, 2016, 3, edition 1, volume 63, chapter 1, pages 255-272, University of Lodz.
- Alexander Tsyplakov, 2011. "An introduction to state space modeling (in Russian)," Quantile, Quantile, issue 9, pages 1-24, July.
- David C. Broadstock & Xun Chen, 2013.
"A possible role for discriminatory fuel duty in reducing the emissions from road transport: some UK evidence,"
Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(6), pages 540-544, April.
- David C Broadstock & Xun Chen, 2012. "A possible role for discriminatory fuel duty in reducing the emissions from road transport: Some UK evidence," Surrey Energy Economics Centre (SEEC), School of Economics Discussion Papers (SEEDS) 136, Surrey Energy Economics Centre (SEEC), School of Economics, University of Surrey.
- Kei Nanamiya, 2011. "The Wavelet-based Estimation for Long Memory Signal Plus Noise Models," Global COE Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series gd11-210, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
- Jorge Fornero & Markus Kirchner, 2018.
"Learning about Commodity Cycles and Saving-Investment Dynamics in a Commodity-Exporting Economy,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 14(2), pages 205-262, March.
- Jorge Fornero & Markus Kirchner, 2014. "Learning About Commodity Cycles and Saving- Investment Dynamics in a Commodity-Exporting Economy," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 727, Central Bank of Chile.
- Tucker McElroy & Thomas Trimbur, 2015.
"Signal Extraction for Non-Stationary Multivariate Time Series with Illustrations for Trend Inflation,"
Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(2), pages 209-227, March.
- Tucker S. McElroy & Thomas M. Trimbur, 2012. "Signal extraction for nonstationary multivariate time series with illustrations for trend inflation," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2012-45, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Krahnen, Jan P. & Schmid, Frank A. & Theissen, Erik, 2006.
"Investment performance and market share: A study of the German mutual fund industry,"
CFR Working Papers
06-06, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
- Krahnen, Jan Pieter & Schmid, Frank A. & Theissen, Erik, 2006. "Investment performance and market share: A study of the German mutual fund industry," CFS Working Paper Series 2006/06, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Rodríguez, Alejandro & Ruiz, Esther, 2012.
"Bootstrap prediction mean squared errors of unobserved states based on the Kalman filter with estimated parameters,"
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(1), pages 62-74, January.
- Rodríguez, Alejandro & Ruiz Ortega, Esther, 2010. "Bootstrap prediction mean squared errors of unobserved states based on the Kalman filter with estimated parameters," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws100301, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Eric M. Leeper & Alexander W. Richter & Todd B. Walker, 2012.
"Quantitative Effects of Fiscal Foresight,"
American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 4(2), pages 115-144, May.
- Eric M. Leeper & Alexander W. Richter & Todd B. Walker, 2010. "Quantitative Effects of Fiscal Foresight," NBER Chapters, in: Fiscal Policy (Trans-Atlantic Public Economics Seminar, TAPES), pages 115-144, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Eric M. Leeper & Alexander W. Richter & Todd B. Walker, 2010. "Quantitative Effects of Fiscal Foresight," NBER Working Papers 16363, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- António Alberto Santos, 2010. "MCMC, likelihood estimation and identifiability problems in DLM models," GEMF Working Papers 2010-12, GEMF, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra.
- Proietti, Tommaso, 2014.
"Exponential Smoothing, Long Memory and Volatility Prediction,"
MPRA Paper
57230, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Tommaso Proietti, 2015. "Exponential Smoothing, Long Memory and Volatility Prediction," CREATES Research Papers 2015-51, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Tommaso Proietti, 2014. "Exponential Smoothing, Long Memory and Volatility Prediction," CEIS Research Paper 319, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 30 Jul 2014.
- Yu, Wei-Choun & Zivot, Eric, 2011.
"Forecasting the term structures of Treasury and corporate yields using dynamic Nelson-Siegel models,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 579-591.
- Yu, Wei-Choun & Zivot, Eric, 2011. "Forecasting the term structures of Treasury and corporate yields using dynamic Nelson-Siegel models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 579-591, April.
- Frühwirth-Schnatter, Sylvia & Wagner, Helga, 2010. "Stochastic model specification search for Gaussian and partial non-Gaussian state space models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 154(1), pages 85-100, January.
- Nielsen, Morten Ørregaard & Frederiksen, Per, 2008.
"Finite sample accuracy and choice of sampling frequency in integrated volatility estimation,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(2), pages 265-286, March.
- Morten Ø. Nielsen & Per Houmann Frederiksen, 2005. "Finite Sample Accuracy Of Integrated Volatility Estimators," Working Paper 1225, Economics Department, Queen's University.
- Giovanni Angelini & Giuseppe Cavaliere & Luca Fanelli, 2022. "Bootstrap inference and diagnostics in state space models: With applications to dynamic macro models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(1), pages 3-22, January.
- Tommaso, Proietti & Stefano, Grassi, 2010.
"Bayesian stochastic model specification search for seasonal and calendar effects,"
MPRA Paper
27305, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Stefano Grassi & Tommaso Proietti, 2011. "Bayesian stochastic model specification search for seasonal and calendar effects," CREATES Research Papers 2011-08, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Flavio Cunha & James J. Heckman & Susanne M. Schennach, 2010.
"Estimating the Technology of Cognitive and Noncognitive Skill Formation,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 78(3), pages 883-931, May.
- Susanne Schennach & James Heckman & Flavio Cunha, 2007. "Estimating the Technology of Cognitive and Noncognitive Skill Formation," 2007 Meeting Papers 973, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Flavio Cunha & James Heckman & Susanne M. Schennach, 2010. "Estimating the technology of cognitive and noncognitive skill formation," CeMMAP working papers CWP09/10, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
- Cunha, Flavio & Heckman, James J. & Schennach, Susanne, 2010. "Estimating the Technology of Cognitive and Noncognitive Skill Formation," IZA Discussion Papers 4702, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Flavio Cunha & James Heckman & Susanne Schennach, 2010. "Estimating the Technology of Cognitive and Noncognitive Skill Formation," NBER Working Papers 15664, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
More about this item
Keywords
Stochastic volatility; MCMC; Russia; CPI; forecasting.;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
- E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
NEP fields
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:- NEP-CBA-2013-12-06 (Central Banking)
- NEP-CIS-2013-12-06 (Confederation of Independent States)
- NEP-FOR-2013-12-06 (Forecasting)
- NEP-MAC-2013-12-06 (Macroeconomics)
- NEP-TRA-2013-12-06 (Transition Economics)
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hig:wpaper:35/ec/2013. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Shamil Abdulaev or Shamil Abdulaev (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/hsecoru.html .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.